PDA

View Full Version : binomial OR poisson


denian
Aug4-04, 09:50 AM
in a town, one of a hundred occupants loves fishing. what is the minimum occupants must be chosen so that the probability that there is at least one occupant who loves fishing is more than 0.7?

i hope u understand the question, because im doing some direct translation from my language to english.

ok. so, should i use poission or binomial. both lead to a very close answer. but which is more suitable. thx.

grady
Aug4-04, 12:07 PM
Poisson is a suitable approximation to binomial when \lambda is small enough and n is large enough that \left(1-\frac{\lambda}{n}\right)^n\approx e^{-\lambda}, \frac{n(n-1)\cdots(n-i+1)}{n^i}\approx 1 and \left(1-\frac{\lambda}{n}\right)^i\approx 1. Poisson looks fine for this.

denian
Aug5-04, 03:54 AM
thank you, grady