morrowcosom
Mar3-11, 12:15 PM
I am the only one drawing from the deck. I come out with two cards of matching suit. The flop them comes down with two cards matching my suit, therefore giving me a flush draw. What is the probability of getting a flush?
Here is my go at it:
(I am going by helping cards/unseen cards)
I already have 4 cards of the flush, so there are only 9 cards left out of the original 13 that help. I have seen 5 out of 52 cards so far, so 47 remain
On the turn: 9/47= 19.15% On the river: 9/46= 19.57%
So by adding these two together, I get a 38.72% of getting a flush by the river card, If I get a flush draw on the flop.
This seems correct, but if not, what is the error of my ways?
Thanks
Here is my go at it:
(I am going by helping cards/unseen cards)
I already have 4 cards of the flush, so there are only 9 cards left out of the original 13 that help. I have seen 5 out of 52 cards so far, so 47 remain
On the turn: 9/47= 19.15% On the river: 9/46= 19.57%
So by adding these two together, I get a 38.72% of getting a flush by the river card, If I get a flush draw on the flop.
This seems correct, but if not, what is the error of my ways?
Thanks