Calculating Expected Value for Sweepstakes Prizes

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on calculating the expected value of sweepstakes prizes, specifically for a scenario involving four prizes: $5900 (1 in 8100), $2500 (1 in 6200), $600 (1 in 4700), and $300 (1 in 2600), with an entry cost of $0.75. The expected value is derived using the formula E[X] = Σ(X_i * P(X_i)), where X_i represents the prize amounts and P(X_i) their respective probabilities. The correct expected value calculation yields $0.62 per entry after accounting for the entry fee.

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  • Understanding of probability distributions
  • Familiarity with expected value calculations
  • Basic knowledge of sweepstakes mechanics
  • Ability to perform arithmetic operations with fractions
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  • Explore the implications of entry costs on expected value
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This discussion is beneficial for statisticians, mathematicians, and anyone involved in sweepstakes design or analysis, particularly those interested in calculating expected values and understanding probability distributions.

layzieb81
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The prizes that can be won in a sweepstakes are listed below together with the chances of winning each one.

$5900(1 chance in 8100); $2500( 1 chance in 6200); $600 (1 chance in 4700); $300(1 chance in 2600)
Find the expected value of the amount won for one entry if the cost to enter is
75 cents.

Now I am having trouble setting this up as a probability distribution. I just don't know where to start or what goes where. I know the awnser is $0.62..but i just can't figure out the steps. So far i'v been doing it like this

x P(x)
----- ------
Win $5899.25 ?
Lose -$.75 ?

Well I think I'm setting up "x" wrong and I just don't know what the probability should be. So any help would be apreciated.
 
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For example, 1 chance in 100 is a probability.
So you have the probability of every winning and the amount of each winning. Now, the expected value is

[tex]E\left[ X \right] = \sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {X_i P\left( {X_i } \right)}[/tex]

[tex]X_i[/tex] is the amount of each winning and [tex]P\left( {X_i } \right)[/tex] is the probability of each winning.
And don't forget to take into account the 75 cents the entry consts.
 
"One chance in 8100" means the probability is 1/8100, "one change in 6200" mean the probability is 1/6200, etc.
 

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