You have 2 boxes and 20 balls riddle

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    Balls Riddle
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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around a riddle involving the distribution of 20 balls (10 black and 10 white) into 2 boxes, with the goal of maximizing the probability of selecting 2 white balls when one ball is randomly chosen from each box. The focus is on exploring different strategies for ball distribution.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant suggests distributing 5 white and 10 black balls in one box and 5 white balls in the other to maximize the odds.
  • Another participant proposes that placing 1 white ball in one box and the remaining balls in the other box might yield better results.
  • A third participant agrees with the second suggestion, arguing that starting with all balls in one box leads to zero chance of success and that moving balls into the empty box can only improve the odds, suggesting a distribution of 5 black and 5 white balls in each box as a midpoint strategy.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the optimal distribution strategy, with no consensus reached on the best approach to maximize the probability of selecting 2 white balls.

Contextual Notes

The discussion highlights various assumptions about probability and distribution strategies, but does not resolve the mathematical implications of each proposed distribution.

Gokul43201
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Give yourself a minute or two to solve this :

You have 2 boxes and 20 balls, 10 black and 10 white. How would you distribute the balls in the boxes (any number in each box so long as the total is 20) to maximize the odds of picking 2 whites on a random selection of 1 ball from each box ?

i.e: how many blacks and whites in each box ?
 
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Well to get the largets chance you want to maximize the numerator and minimize thedenominator of the fraction.

So I guess 5 white and 10 black in one box and 5 white in the other box.
 
Actually it'd be better to but 1 white in one box and the rest of the balls in the other I think.
 
I think so too...

There's a common trap that a lot of people fall into. Here's the argument I've heard most commonly (including out of my own head). All balls in Box 1 or all balls in Box 2 gives you a zero chance of success. The problem is symmetric w.r.t the boxes, and starting from one of the above extremum cases, and moving balls into the empty box can only improve your odds. So the best odds will the found at the midpoint, i.e : 5 black and 5 white balls in each box.

The "apparent" similarity with problems like maximising entropy in a 2-chamber system, or finding the rectangle of largest area for given perimeter leads to the taking of the bait quite happily
 

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