I'm not talking about beliefs, you are. "You think" isn't a calculation.
I'm talking about the difference between knowledge and absolute knowledge. If we had a TOE and stopped making dramatic discoveries that seem to turn physics upsidedown, then perhaps one might be able to argue with increasing confidence what absolute limits exist. But for now, with so many exotic theories and questions at hand, I see no logical argument for absolutes in this sense.
To put it bluntly, show me the published paper showing otherwise. I don't mean to pick on you as your comments are popular opinion, but unless I'm missing something here, technically one could argue that statements about the odds are crackpot. There is no way to know the odds.