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Welfare now 21% of Federal Budget

 
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Oct28-12, 05:46 AM   #69
 
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Welfare now 21% of Federal Budget


Quote by russ_watters View Post
Then do you acknowledge that this was wrong?: Because Medicaid is for poor people and Medicare isn't.
No, I was just accepting the definition as being used for the sake of argument, and I was pointing out that republicans are excluding programs that target old, rich, veterans, and business. I'm curious as to why they should be excluded. In my opinion, the list only includes things republicans don't like while excluding things they do like or need for votes.

And yes, people traditionally use welfare in politics to refer to TANF. IE: Welfare rolls, welfare queens, welfare reform, or just plain old welfare.

Mitt Romney, for example, has been investing quite a bit on running attack ads on "welfare" (TANF).
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-215_162-...g-welfare-ads/

Of course, those attack ads were wildly false. But quite frankly, I'm starting to agree with the Romney team that facts simply don't matter. Half of eligible Americans don't vote, and so whatever candidate can rally its partisan base wins.

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Of course medicare is for poor people.

In 1959, for example, 35.2 percent of Americans over 65 were living below the poverty line, compared with 17 percent of those under 65. Today, about 10 percent of seniors are living in poverty. Before Medicare was enacted, the elderly paid 53 percent of the cost of their health care. That share dropped to 29 percent in 1975 and to 18 percent in 1997. The elderly s health costs consumed 24 percent of the average Social Security check shortly before Medicare; by 1975, that share dropped to 17 percent (Gornick, 1976).
http://www.cms.gov/Research-Statisti.../35chartbk.pdf

Though to be fair...

Elderly poverty in the U.S. decreased dramatically during the twentieth century. Between 1960 and 1995, the official poverty rate of those aged 65 and above fell from 35 percent to 10 percent, and research has documented similarly steep declines dating back to at least 1939. While poverty was once far more prevalent among the elderly than among other age groups, today's elderly have a poverty rate similar to that of working-age adults and much lower than that of children.

Social Security is often mentioned as a likely contributor to the decline in elderly poverty. Enacted in 1935, the Social Security system experienced rapid benefit growth in the post-WWII era. In fact, there is a striking association between the rise in Social Security expenditures per capita and the decline in elderly poverty, as Figure 1 illustrates (with both series scaled to fit on the same figure).
http://www.nber.org/bah/summer04/w10466.html

In addition, half of recipients of Medicare are lower than 200% of federal poverty level. So many of them will also qualify for many of the programs listed.

http://assets.aarp.org/rgcenter/heal...9_medicare.pdf

And they get a lot more out of these services than they put into them.


At the end of the day, they only included things that didn't like while not including things they do like or need to win votes. And it's not very useful outside of making some kind of talking point to use on the campaign trail. And many people will likely associate the welfare spending claim with TANF.

If they were serious about dealing with debt, they would be talking about health-care programs and their effects throughout the federal system. For example, states may shift funds away from higher education for the purpose of funding its health-care services; as a result, the cost of education increases leading to higher costing programs like the pell grant.

Health care spending, military spending, and taxes are the largest problems in our budget.
Oct28-12, 06:51 AM   #70
 
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Quote by D H View Post
Please be reasonable. It had better not be TANF and TANF only. That's not a reasonable definition of "welfare".
One would just need to create a rigorous definition of welfare and include all programs that fall within it. For example, should programs that encourage social mobility be defined as welfare? If so then all programs that meet such a criteria should be included.

But at the end of the day, what is accomplished?

It seems to me that politicians are getting ready to practice the fine art of plucking feathers off a goose. They want to get the largest amount of feathers with the least amount of hissing. Military spending, healthcare spending, and revenues are really messing up federal and state budgets. But they are also impossible to touch without getting zapped by the ultra partisan gods. So it seems to me that their going to let it go until the whole thing falls apart. Even with huge cuts in this list of yours, the growth rates on health-care will make up for it. The growth rates for 2013 is projected to be around 7.5%. So health-care costs are doubling around every 9.33 years at that rate. And it is going to cripple state and federal budgets, and it can't be covered up with cutting elsewhere forever. In my opinion, they are looking for cuts that will allow them to kick the big bang a little further down the road. And the further they kick it, the bigger the bang.

On the other hand, things are so partisan right now that our government isn't functioning properly. Just look at the major disruptions occurring. The fiscal cliff is a fairly dangerous thing because it injects a lot of uncertainty in the market. In addition, it would throw us back into recession. I wouldn't be surprised if they don't wait until the last second to do something about it. But eventually, one day, they are going to surprise everyone and simply not act. We keep using the assumption that some things are so terrible that they'll definitely act. I'm not sure that is a safe assumption anymore. The amount of people wanting us to default last year was staggering. The nation is turning into a situation where the ignorant rule the wise.

And that's starting to take a toll on me. Honestly, I could write a 40 page report on nothing but criticism of either party.
Oct28-12, 12:55 PM   #71
 
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Quote by StevieTNZ View Post
Sounds like you guys are attacking each other.
Welcome to P&WA, hope you weren't expecting genuine discussion. Rule #1, for each fact there are two interpretations, but your interpretation is right and the other guy's is wrong. Since you can't prove interpretations, just use tautology and accuse the other guy of ignorance.

Hope that clears everything up. Good luck, here's your helmet.
Oct28-12, 03:58 PM   #72
 
Quote by D H View Post
Is that your one and only program that you think qualifies as welfare?

If it isn't, please whittle this list of 83 programs down to the ones that you would say do qualify as welfare.
  1. Family Planning
  2. Consolidated Health Centers
  3. Transitional Cash and Medical Services for Refugees
  4. State Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP)
  5. Voluntary Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit-Low-Income Subsidy
  6. Medicaid
  7. Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program
  8. Breast/Cervical Cancer Early Detection
  9. Maternal and Child Health Block Grant
  10. Indian Health Service
  11. Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) (cash aid)
  12. Supplemental Security Income
  13. Additional Child Tax Credit
  14. Earned Income Tax Credit (refundable component)
  15. Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP)
  16. School Breakfast Program (free/reduced price components)
  17. National School Lunch Program (free/reduced price components)
  18. Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants and Children (WIC)
  19. Child and Adult Care Food Program (lower income components)
  20. Summer Food Service Program
  21. Commodity Supplemental
  22. Food Program Nutrition Assistance for Puerto Rico
  23. The Emergency Food Assistance Program (TEFAP)
  24. Nutrition Program for the Elderly
  25. Indian Education
  26. Adult Basic Education Grants to States
  27. Federal Supplemental Educational Opportunity Grant
  28. Education for the Disadvantaged- Grants to Local Educational Agencies (Title I-A)
  29. Title I Migrant Education Program
  30. Higher Education-Institutional Aid and Developing Institutions
  31. Federal Work-Study
  32. Federal TRIO Programs
  33. Federal Pell Grants
  34. Education for Homeless Children and Youth
  35. 21st Century Community Learning Centers
  36. Gaining Early Awareness and Readiness for Undergraduate Programs (GEAR- UP)
  37. Reading First and Early Reading First
  38. Rural Education Achievement Program
  39. Mathematics and Science Partnerships
  40. Improving Teacher Quality State Grants
  41. Academic Competitiveness and Smart Grant Program
  42. Single-Family Rural Housing Loans
  43. Rural Rental Assistance Program
  44. Water and Waste Disposal for Rural Communities
  45. Public Works and Economic Development
  46. Supportive Housing for the Elderly
  47. Supportive Housing for Persons with Disabilities
  48. Section 8 Project-Based Rental Assistance
  49. Community Development Block Grants
  50. Homeless Assistance Grants
  51. Home Investment Partnerships Program (HOME)
  52. Housing Opportunities for Persons with AIDS (HOPWA)
  53. Public Housing
  54. Indian Housing Block Grants
  55. Section 8 Housing Choice Vouchers
  56. Neighborhood Stabilization Program-1
  57. Grants to States for Low-Income Housing in Lieu of Low-Income Housing Credit Allocations
  58. Tax Credit Assistance Program
  59. Indian Human Services
  60. Older Americans Act Grants for Supportive Services and Senior Centers
  61. Older Americans Act Family Caregiver Program
  62. Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) (social services)
  63. Child Support Enforcement
  64. Community Services Block Grant
  65. Child Care and Development Fund
  66. Head Start HHS
  67. Developmental Disabilities Support and Advocacy Grants
  68. Foster Care
  69. Adoption Assistance
  70. Social Services Block Grant
  71. Chafee Foster Care Independence Program
  72. Emergency Food and Shelter Program
  73. Legal Services Corporation
  74. Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) (employment and training component)
  75. Community Service Employment for Older Americans
  76. Workforce Investment Act (WIA) Adult Activities
  77. Workforce Investment Act (WIA) Youth Activities
  78. Social Services and Targeted Assistance for Refugees
  79. Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) (employment and training)
  80. Foster Grandparents
  81. Job Corps
  82. Weatherization Assistance Program
  83. Low-Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP)

This is the list of programs that led to that 21% figure. Some are perhaps dubious as "welfare". So come up with your own list.

Please be reasonable. It had better not be TANF and TANF only. That's not a reasonable definition of "welfare".
Wow, that's quite a list. I'm seeing a lot of redundancies, so wouldn't it make sense to roll several related programs into one? Like for example free school lunches and food stamps? I would think such consolidations would reduce the bureaucracies, making more efficient use of tax money......
Oct28-12, 07:10 PM   #73
 
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Quote by StevieTNZ View Post
Sounds like you guys are attacking each other.
I wouldn't call any of this an attack.

People who enjoy talking about politics do so because they like the process of argumentation. Arguments are an excellent way to test ideas and often things can be learned from them. Of course, there are many people who don't like their ideas being challenged, and they will take every argument as if it is a personal attack. But there isn't too much of that in this forum.

As a bystander, one should just judge this by the merits of the arguments being presented. It could be that you disagree with both arguments, and you should jump in to test out your own ideas. Unless the argument is that rare thing that gets instant consensus, your idea will likely be challenged by someone, and you'll be able to learn the strengths and weaknesses of it. Just don't take it personal.
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