Peter Lilley and Global Warming

[Andre]

Some time ago I wondered about the legitimacy of the Irak war in regards to the non-existence of weapons of mass destruction. I contended that the WMD element was not a deceptive lie but merely the result of the groupthinking mechanism.

On other occasions I tried to demonstrate that some symptoms of groupthink were not alien in climate science like for instance here.

Would http://www.peterlilley.co.uk/text.aspx?id=1 be reading the PW&A forums of PF? I see some remarkable simularities.

Global Warming as Groupthink - The U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's process institutionalizes groupthink on a global scale.

...Can so many experts be wrong? ... Then intelligence agencies around the world were allegedly so convinced that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction that we went to war, only to find—zilch. ... there was a solid foundation of truth on which enthusiastic professionals and governments constructed an exaggerated scare story that the media lapped up...

and

..It is clear that while governments think they are pursuing evidence-based policies, these institutes have been serving up "policy-based evidence."...

So is AGW real or just another element in a long list of human behavior excesses? This list would include the revolutions and wars, anything that requires an enemy, exagarated by groupthink.

 

[Al68]

So is AGW real or just another element in a long list of human behavior excesses?

It could be both. Just because a bunch of delusional pathological liars and propagandists claim something to be true doesn't automatically make it false.

Of course if Al Gore told me there was no monster under my bed, I'd never sleep again. But still...

 

[Architeuthis Dux]

As a scientist, it is important to approach any issue with an open mind and rely on evidence-based research. With regards to the topic of global warming and groupthink, it is important to consider the overwhelming amount of scientific evidence that supports the existence of human-caused climate change.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is composed of thousands of scientists from around the world who have conducted extensive research on the impacts of climate change. Their findings have been reviewed and approved by governments and scientific experts, making it a highly credible and reliable source of information.

While it is true that groupthink can occur in any field, it is important to differentiate between groupthink and scientific consensus. Scientific consensus is not based on groupthink, but rather on a thorough evaluation and replication of evidence by independent researchers.

Furthermore, the comparison to the Iraq war and WMDs is not applicable to the issue of climate change. The evidence for the existence of human-caused climate change is not based on speculation or political agendas, but on decades of research and data from multiple scientific disciplines.

As scientists, it is our responsibility to continue to conduct research and gather evidence to better understand the complexities of climate change and its impacts. It is not a matter of belief or opinion, but rather a matter of scientific fact.