Why the De Raedt Local Realistic Computer Simulations are wrong

In summary, the De Raedt model produces QM-like data, but it does not prove that a local realistic theory is possible.
  • #71
billschnieder said:
1) cos^2(theta) is the expectation value for OUTCOMES. QM does not predict anything other than what is observed! You change the time window you get a DIFFERENT observation! Looking at stuff that is not observed and calling ing "full universe" is simply wrong-headed. [..]
While De Raedt et al's simulation did succeed in its intended purpose, it does appear that in principle (and likely also in practice) their model makes slightly different predictions from QM. That may allow for a comparison of both with existing data, as is intended in the thread on "Weih's data" (should have been Weihs' data).
 
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  • #72
billschnieder said:
1) cos^2(theta) is the expectation value for OUTCOMES. QM does not predict anything other than what is observed! You change the time window you get a DIFFERENT observation! Looking at stuff that is not observed and calling ing "full universe" is simply wrong-headed.

"Full universe" is what they usually call the portion that is not included in a sample (along with the sample itself of course). What do you call that? Because QM makes the same prediction for everything, while the de Raedt et al model does not. In that model, there is always a difference between the sample and the full universe.
 
  • #73
DrChinese said:
"Full universe" is what they usually call the portion that is not included in a sample (along with the sample itself of course).
I know what "full universe" means, my point is that it does not apply to QM. What does QM predict for the "stuff" that is not sampled (ie, is not measured)? Don't you realize that QM says nothing about what is "there" beyond the measurement results?

The measurement is the sampling, QM predicts what the sample will show, not what exists apart from the sample which you call "full universe".
What do you call that? Because QM makes the same prediction for everything
No. The everything you refer to is "everything that is measured" as far as QM is concerned, not everything that exists apart from the measurement. What you call full-universe in their simulation would be "hidden" if it were a real experiment so you can't compare that with QM.
 
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  • #74
billschnieder said:
I know what "full universe" means, my point is that it does not apply to QM. What does QM predict for the "stuff" that is not sampled (ie, is not measured)? Don't you realize that QM says nothing about what is "there" beyond the measurement results?

Groan. :uhh:

The simulation allows us to include as much as 1 pair from every trial, and in all cases shows us the other 2 pairs from every trial. Which of the 3 is selected for viewing is random and independent of the angle settings. That means it fulfills the local realism requirement. The 2 pairs not selected are then disposed of. That is not part of the full universe I am discussing.

The full universe is the portion we are sampling from. QM says the full universe is cos^2(theta). It is an experimental fact that the sample we actually measure respects that. Again, for QM the full universe does not include counterfactual angles, it only includes the angles we actually measure at.

By way of analogy: GR describes the relative mutual attraction of any 2 objects. The prediction for the full universe is the same as the prediction for any sample. This is normal in science, Bill. We have a theory which describes the full universe, and experiment which measures a sample. So too in this simulation. And the full universe does NOT match QM.
 
  • #75
DrChinese said:
Groan. :uhh:
The simulation allows us to include as much as 1 pair from every trial, and in all cases shows us the other 2 pairs from every trial. Which of the 3 is selected for viewing is random and independent of the angle settings. That means it fulfills the local realism requirement. The 2 pairs not selected are then disposed of. That is not part of the full universe I am discussing.
And that is not what I understand you to be discussing either! :uhh:
The full universe is the portion we are sampling from.
Yes, I understand that this is what you mean.
QM says the full universe is cos^2(theta).
No! :cry: QM says no such thing. QM predicts, and agrees ONLY with the result of the sampling !
It is an experimental fact that the sample we actually measure respects that.
Yes the sample actually measured respects QM, it agrees with what QM predicted for the sample. The sample from the simulation also agrees with what QM predicted for the sample and it also agrees with the sample from the experiment.
Your suggestion that full universe of the simulation does not match QM's prediction for the sample is the wrong-headedness I'm pointing out to you.
Again, for QM the full universe does not include counterfactual angles, it only includes the angles we actually measure at.
AND again :cry:, I understand exactly what you mean by "full-universe". Now you try to understand what I mean when I say QM does not predict any "full-universe".
Your error is to ascribe the prediction of QM to a full-universe not realizing that QM's prediction is for a measurement outcome which is necessarily a sample.
 
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  • #76
billschnieder said:
[..] AND again :cry:, I understand exactly what you mean by "full-universe". Now you try to understand what I mean when I say QM does not predict any "full-universe".
I kind of foresaw that issue and didn't get into that (although my reply did imply a middle ground answer) as I think that such arguments like "full universe" automatically disappear when discussing a real experimental data "universe". :wink:
 
  • #77
billschnieder said:
Your error is to ascribe the prediction of QM to a full-universe not realizing that QM's prediction is for a measurement outcome which is necessarily a sample.

This is a useless statement. QM DOES make the same prediction, whether the measurement is performed or not, as long as it is possible in principle to make the measurement. The only thing about QM that is different than other scientific theories is that it makes no prediction for measurements that could not be performed, in principle, such as one counterfactual to an actual measurement.

In the simulation there is a sample and there is a full universe. YOU CAN SEE BOTH, so don't say they don't exist. We can talk about them meaningfully, and we can compare to the QM expectation value for the full universe, which has meaning according to the EPR definition. And the sample is not a faithful representation of the full universe in many cases, and in all cases the universe does not match a QM universe. In accordance with Bell.

You would stick an ice pick in your eye before you would admit how wrong you are, so I am not going to keep going in circles with you.
 
  • #78
DrChinese said:
QM DOES make the same prediction, whether the measurement is performed or not, as long as it is possible in principle to make the measurement.
Of course, that is what "prediction" means. But realize what the prediction is for. It is a prediction "for an experimental outcome". Not a prediction for the full-universe that you are talking about.
In the simulation there is a sample and there is a full universe. YOU CAN SEE BOTH, so don't say they don't exist.
No question there. Nobody says they don't exist, in the simulation you can see everything, you can even see photons that get lost, you can even trace the photons one by one and see what happens to each one. The point you refuse to see is that the QM prediction is for the outcome, so you must compare the QM prediction with the outcome of the simulation, not what exists in the simulation beyond the outcome. The only relevant question is: Have they obtained the outcome in a manner that, in principle, is reasonably consistent with the way real outcomes are obtained in the real experiments? If the answer to this question is yes, then you compare the outcome with the outcome of the real experiments, and to the QM prediction for the real experiments. You already agree that their outcomes agree with QM. You already agree that they obtain the outcomes in a manner consistent with Local reallity. So what is the beef? This "full-universe argument does not make sense.

We can talk about them meaningfully
Of course you can.
and we can compare to the QM expectation value for the full universe, which has meaning according to the EPR definition.
I've said this too many times already. The QM expectation value is for the outcome. QM is answering the question "What is the expectation value E(a,b) for the outcome IF we measure along a and b"?
And the sample is not a faithful representation of the full universe in many cases, and in all cases the universe does not match a QM universe. In accordance with Bell.
I could not be any clearer, what you call "QM universe" is not comparable to what you call "full-universe" in the simulation. They are apples and oranges.
 
  • #79
billschnieder, this is what I told you in another thread:

lugita15 said:
The "full universe" issue you're talking about concerns the existence of counterfactual outcomes. But the "full universe" issue that DrChinese is discussing in regard to de Raedt's model is that it exploits the fair sampling loophole: the model only reproduces the predictions of QM if we take a small coincidental detection window, but if we had better experiments that would detect ALL entangled pairs emitted by the source, then de Raedt's model would be in stark disagreement with the predictions of QM.
 
  • #80
lugita15 said:
billschnieder, this is what I told you in another thread:

Thanks Lugita,
I understand what DrC means by full-universe, the disagreement concerns the fact that he thinks QM predicts a full-universe apart from what is actually measured, and I think QM predicts ONLY what is measured and no more.

Another way of looking at it as per your quote is that DrC thinks in QM coincidence window is infinite, but I think in QM the coincidence window is 0.
 
  • #81
billschnieder said:
Thanks Lugita,
I understand what DrC means by full-universe, the disagreement concerns the fact that he thinks QM predicts a full-universe apart from what is actually measured, and I think QM predicts ONLY what is measured and no more.
I still think you're not understanding DrChinese. When he says the phrase "full universe" in the context of de Raedt's model, he is NOT talking about realism. He is talking about the fair sampling loophole, which only exists because of current experimental limitations. If our experimental equipment was good enough, the fair sampling loophole would be closed, and it may be possible to test the differences between standard quantum mechanics. Do you not agree that that's what he's talking about, or do you agree that that's what he's talking about but disagree with him on it?
Another way of looking at it as per your quote is that DrC thinks in QM coincidence window is infinite, but I think in QM the coincidence window is 0.
I am using the phrase "coincidence window" in a very precise experimental sense, you are using it with a meaning that I don't recognize. The coincidence window is not something theory-specific, so it makes no sense to ask what the coincidence window is "in QM". The coincidence window is how long you let the photon detectors run, waiting for each entangled particle to hit the respective detector. If we set the window too short, we may miss some of the particles that are still on their way. If we set the window too long, we may get confused as to which photons belonged to which particle pair. This is just a practical experimental problem, and if and when it is resolved the predictions of QM and de Raedt will presumably no longer be experimentally indistinguishable.
 
  • #82
lugita15 said:
I still think you're not understanding DrChinese. When he says the phrase "full universe" in the context of de Raedt's model, he is NOT talking about realism.
You think you know what I understand but you don't. I understand exactly what DrC is talking about.
He is talking about the fair sampling loophole, which only exists because of current experimental limitations. If our experimental equipment was good enough, the fair sampling loophole would be closed, and it may be possible to test the differences between standard quantum mechanics.
And this is precisely the "blinders" both of you have on which is preventing you from understanding what I'm saying (and the simulation). You assume that lack of fair sampling is a loophole only due to problems with equipment and we can "fix" it by improving the experiment.
I am using the phrase "coincidence window" in a very precise experimental sense, you are using it with a meaning that I don't recognize. The coincidence window is not something theory-specific, so it makes no sense to ask what the coincidence window is "in QM".
Let us think about your ideal experiment in which the photons paths are exactly the same length and the clocks are exactly synchronized, and no stray photons are present. I presume you mean that in such a case, this "loophole" will not exist because the two photons will have exactly the same time of arrival. Yes? So setting the coincidence window to zero should more accurately represent the QM case right? And increasing it much larger than zero should deviate from QM right? So hopefully now you understand why W=0 is equivalent to the QM prediction for an ideal setup.
Here is what De Raedt says:
De Raedt said:
In this case, both the simulation and a rigorous mathematical treatment of the model lead to the conclusion that for d = 3 and W → τ → 0, the model reproduces the results (see Table I) of quantum theory for a system of two S = 1/2 particles.
So what has "full-universe" got to do with it. What is the full universe in your view that is supposedly violates QM. Now maybe this phrase from their paper addresses exactly what I'm talking about:

De Raedt said:
Another deceptive point may be that in our model, one can compute the correlation of the particles right after they left the source. This correlation is exactly minus one. However, this correlation has no relevance to the experiment: To measure the correlation of the particles, it is necessary to put in the Stern-Gerlach magnets, detectors, timing logic and so on. We emphasize that the simulation procedure counts all events that, according to the same criterion as the one employed in experiment, correspond to the detection of two-particle systems.
Our simulation results also suggest that we may have to reconsider the commonly accepted point of view that the more certain we are about a measurement, the more ”classical” the system is. Indeed, according to experiments and in concert with the prediction of our model, this point of view is in conflict with the observation that the more we reduce this uncertainty by letting W → 0, the better the agreement with quantum theory becomes.
Both in experiments and in our model, the uncertainty is in the time-tag data and it is this uncertainty that affects the coincidences and yields the quantum correlations of the singlet state (if W → 0). Isn’t it then very remarkable that the agreement between experiment and
quantum theory improves by reducing (not increasing!) the uncertainty by making W as small as technically feasible?
So think about a coincidence window of zero. I ask again, what is this full-universe which DrC claims violates QM?
This is just a practical experimental problem, and if and when it is resolved the predictions of QM and de Raedt will presumably no longer be experimentally indistinguishable.
So let me get this straight, you are saying that the simulation agrees with QM and Experiment because the experiments are faulty, but when the experiment becomes ideal, they will continue to agree with QM but not with the simulation? Does that make sense to you?
 
  • #83
lugita15 said:
[..] The coincidence window is not something theory-specific, so it makes no sense to ask what the coincidence window is "in QM".
I agree with that. However:
The coincidence window is how long you let the photon detectors run, waiting for each entangled particle to hit the respective detector. [..]
Here I think that you misunderstand the usual experimental set-up, or at least those that De Raedt et al have in mind. The photo detectors run nearly all the time, and anyone who has the data can freely chose the coincidence window for data analysis.
 

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