Are all proxies equally reliable in paleoclimate reconstruction?

  • Thread starter DnD Addict
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In summary, proxies can be unreliable and depending on the time period, may not affect the overall temperature reconstruction.
  • #1
DnD Addict
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Sorry if this has been brought up before, but when there is a temperature reconstruction for the distant past, are the different proxies weighted differently?

Are some considered much more or much less reliable then others?
 
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  • #2
Would you consider the fact that the Earth travels with the sun through the galactic disk once every about 32 million years causing an increase in cosmic rays leading to increase of temperature as accurate as measuring say coral or tree rings? (That of course is a theory but I'm just using it as an exaggerated example :tongue:)

Of course some are more reliable than others... it also depends on how far into the past you would like to go and what was occurring during that period.
 
  • #3
Yeah, I figured there would be. Do you have something that explains it a little further?

Like if someone were to throw out all of the tree ring stuff, for let's say the last 2k years, would the past temperature reconstruction alter dramatically (In places where the are only a loose correlation with w/e other proxies there are), or only marginally?
 
  • #4
Currently the most valued paleo proxy thermometer is Tex86, however, as said numeorus times before, the problem with all proxies is that it is an inherent affirming the consequent fallacy whenever there are more variables that lead to the same proxie values.

And if you really zoom into that problem, it is looking ugly.
 
  • #5
DnD Addict said:
Like if someone were to throw out all of the tree ring stuff, for let's say the last 2k years, would the past temperature reconstruction alter dramatically (In places where the are only a loose correlation with w/e other proxies there are), or only marginally?


Tree rings have their limitation since they don't grow everywhere
and moisture levels affect their growth as does CO2 levels.
If all the tree ring data were to be thrown out it wouldn't matter very much.
There are other proxies available:

Ice cores
Boreholes
Corals
Lake/Ocean Sediment
Cave deposites

In addition, a lot of research is focused on time periods that do not
rely upon tree rings. For example, during the Pliocene
(between 2.5 to 5 Million years ago) we know the climate was
very warm but with CO2 levels similar to today. However that
temperature determination is not based on tree rings at all.
 

1. What is paleoclimatology?

Paleoclimatology is the study of past climates and how they have changed over time. It uses various types of evidence, known as proxies, to reconstruct past climate conditions and understand the factors that have influenced climate change.

2. What are proxies in paleoclimatology?

Proxies are any type of evidence that can be used to infer past climate conditions, such as tree rings, ice cores, sediment layers, and fossil records. These proxies can provide information on temperature, precipitation, atmospheric composition, and other climate variables.

3. How do scientists use proxies to study past climates?

Scientists use proxies by analyzing their physical or chemical properties to reconstruct past climate conditions. For example, tree rings can be analyzed to determine temperature and precipitation patterns, while ice cores can provide information on atmospheric composition and temperature changes over time.

4. What can we learn from studying past climates?

Studying past climates can provide valuable insights into how the Earth's climate has changed over time and the factors that have influenced these changes. It can also help us understand the potential impacts of current and future climate change.

5. What challenges are involved in studying paleoclimatology?

One of the main challenges in studying paleoclimatology is the limited availability of proxy data, especially for regions with sparse or no historical records. Additionally, interpreting and correlating proxy data from different sources can be complex and requires expertise in various fields such as geology, biology, and chemistry.

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