Quote by Bertrand Russell on Probability

In summary, the conversation discusses a quote attributed to Bertrand Russell on the topic of probability. The quote questions the understanding of probability and its importance in science. The origin and reference of this quote is unknown and the speaker is interested in finding it.
  • #1
kkna9877
1
0
I recently looked at a paper (a pdf of a scan of a paper from the 1960's, or there abouts) that discussed the development of probability. The paper began with a quote attributed to Bertrand Russell (in 1926-1927) that went along the lines
"Probability is amongst the most important science, not least because no one understands it".

Has anyone else come across this quote, and if so, do you know its origins/reference.

Thanks,

tim
 
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  • #2
Hello. That sounds like an interesting quote. I know in An Outline of Philosophy he has a statement on probability that seems to question it. He has also said, I believe, "How dare we speak of the laws of chance? Is not chance the antithesis of all law?"

He seems to have attacked the concept a few times in some of his philosophical works, and that quote might be in contrast to his beliefs. So if you find the source, I'd be interested in seeing it.
 

1. What is the context of Bertrand Russell's quote on probability?

Bertrand Russell's quote on probability comes from his book "The Analysis of Mind" published in 1921. In the book, he discusses the concept of probability and its role in human thought and decision making.

2. What does Bertrand Russell mean by "probability is the most important concept in modern science"?

In this quote, Russell is emphasizing the crucial role that probability plays in scientific reasoning and understanding the world. He believed that the use of probability allows scientists to make predictions and test hypotheses, leading to the advancement of knowledge and progress in science.

3. How does Bertrand Russell's quote relate to the scientific method?

Bertrand Russell's quote highlights the importance of probability in the scientific method. The scientific method involves making observations, forming hypotheses, and testing them through experiments. Probability is used to evaluate the likelihood of different outcomes and make predictions about the results of an experiment.

4. What is the significance of Bertrand Russell's quote in today's scientific research?

Today, probability continues to be a fundamental concept in scientific research. It is used in fields such as statistics, physics, and biology to model and understand complex systems and make predictions about future events. Bertrand Russell's quote remains relevant in emphasizing the essential role of probability in modern science.

5. How does Bertrand Russell's quote on probability relate to everyday life?

Probability is not just important in science, but also in our daily lives. We often make decisions and judgments based on the likelihood of certain outcomes. Understanding probability can help us make more informed decisions and navigate uncertainty in our daily lives.

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