Probability of 3 Hearts in Same Hand: Combinatorics Question for Standard Bridge

In summary, the conversation discusses the probability of the remaining three hearts being in the same hand in a game of standard bridge. The formula for calculating this probability is given, taking into account the number of ways for each person to select their cards. It is also mentioned that there are two possible hands the hearts could be in.
  • #1
mehrts
15
0
You're playing standard bridge with three other people. If you know that you and your partner have 10 hearts altogether, then what is the probability that the remaining 3 hearts are all in the same hand ?

Is it comb(3,3)*comb(23,10)/comb(26,13) ? Since there is only 1 way of selecting 3 hearts and com(23,10) ways of selecting the other 10 cards and comb(26,13) different combinations for the opponents cards ?
 
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  • #2
So in bridge, is every card in somebody's hand? And each person always has 13 cards?

What you've said is the probability that the remaining three hearts in a particular person's hand. But there are two possible hands it could be in. What you're looking for is:
1. The number of ways for person A to select 3 hearts and 10 other cards (you basically have this already)
2. The number of ways for person A not to select 3 hearts, and then for person B to select the remaining cards.
Add up 1 and 2 and divide by the total number of ways for A and B to select their cards.
 
  • #3
Thanks that is what I thought. he he he :)
 

1. What is the probability of getting 3 hearts in the same hand in a standard game of Bridge?

The probability of getting 3 hearts in the same hand in a standard game of Bridge is approximately 0.0588 or 5.88%. This means that out of every 100 hands played, you can expect to get 3 hearts in the same hand about 6 times.

2. How is combinatorics used to calculate the probability of 3 hearts in the same hand?

Combinatorics is a branch of mathematics that deals with counting and arranging objects. In the case of calculating the probability of 3 hearts in the same hand in Bridge, combinatorics is used to determine the number of possible combinations of cards that could result in 3 hearts in the same hand. This number is then divided by the total number of possible hands in Bridge to calculate the probability.

3. What are the factors that affect the probability of getting 3 hearts in the same hand?

The main factor that affects the probability of getting 3 hearts in the same hand is the number of hearts in the deck. The more hearts there are, the higher the probability. Additionally, the number of players in the game and the number of cards dealt also have an impact on the probability.

4. Does the position of the player in the game affect the probability of getting 3 hearts in the same hand?

Yes, the position of the player in the game can affect the probability of getting 3 hearts in the same hand. Players who are dealt cards later in the game have a higher chance of getting 3 hearts in the same hand as they have more information about the cards that have already been played.

5. How can knowing the probability of 3 hearts in the same hand in Bridge be useful?

Knowing the probability of 3 hearts in the same hand in Bridge can be useful for players as it can help them make more informed decisions during the game. For example, if a player knows that the probability of getting 3 hearts in the same hand is low, they may choose to pass on bidding or playing certain cards. It can also help players strategize and anticipate potential outcomes based on the probability.

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