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twofish-quant said:So if you are a US citizen, I think your chances of getting in somewhere are higher than 50/50.
I don't think it's that good.
There are ~700 PhD's awarded per year. Say 1000 students are accepted, to account for attrition. About 4000 people take the Physics GRE every year. Looks to me like 1 in 4 is a good first guess.