Mathematical modelling - Fishery - Harvest equation

In summary, the logistic function U(n+1)=rUn models the growth in a fish population from year n to year n+1, and harvesting H fish changes the equation to U(n+1)=rUn-H. To find the maximum H for constant population growth (with r=1), the equation U(n+1)=[(-1x10^-5)(Un^2)+1.6Un]-H can be used, with H representing the maximum number of fish that can be harvested without causing the population to die out. The equation can be solved for H by treating it as a quadratic and looking at the discriminant.
  • #1
jinx
3
0
A logistic function has formula U(n+1)=rUn
This models the growth in the fish population from year n to year n+1. If you now decided to harvest H fish, your equation looks like this: U(n+1)=rUn-H
Now, they want me to find the maximum H for which the population stays constant (growth factor r=1). Ie., if H is too large the population dies out!


Homework Equations



The exact equation is U(n+1)=[(-1x10^-5)(Un^2)+1.6Un]-H


The Attempt at a Solution


Somehow I need to solve for H and then look at the formula as a quadratic, look at the discriminant and then solve for H...
I think H needs to replace some variable in the equation...
 
Physics news on Phys.org
  • #2
jinx said:
A logistic function has formula U(n+1)=rUn
This models the growth in the fish population from year n to year n+1. If you now decided to harvest H fish, your equation looks like this: U(n+1)=rUn-H
Now, they want me to find the maximum H for which the population stays constant (growth factor r=1). Ie., if H is too large the population dies out!


Homework Equations



The exact equation is U(n+1)=[(-1x10^-5)(Un^2)+1.6Un]-H
Why is that the "exact" equation? You just said "Un+1= rUn[/sup]-H". Also, please tell us where the "-1x10-5" and 1.6 came from. Finally, "the maximum H for which the population stays constant" does NOT mean "r= 1". r should be a given "growth rate" without harvesting. From what you say, it looks like the correct equation for constant population should be Un+1= Un= rUn- H or just U= rU- H so that H= (r+1)U where U is the original population.
 
  • #3


To find the maximum H for which the population stays constant, we need to set the growth factor r=1 in the equation U(n+1) = rUn - H. This will give us the equation U(n+1) = Un - H. We can then solve for H by setting U(n+1) = Un, since the population is staying constant. This gives us H = 0. Therefore, the maximum value for H that will keep the population constant is 0. If H is larger than 0, the population will start to decrease and eventually die out.

We can also use the given equation U(n+1) = [(-1x10^-5)(Un^2)+1.6Un]-H to find the maximum H. Since the growth factor r=1, we can simplify the equation to U(n+1) = [(-1x10^-5)(Un^2)+1.6Un]-H = Un - H. This gives us the quadratic equation (-1x10^-5)(Un^2)+0.6Un - H = 0. We can then use the quadratic formula to solve for H, which will give us two possible values for H. However, since we are looking for the maximum H for which the population stays constant, we only need to consider the positive value of H.

In summary, to find the maximum H for which the population stays constant, we can either set U(n+1) = Un - H and solve for H, or use the simplified quadratic equation and solve for the positive value of H. This will give us the maximum value for H that will keep the population constant and prevent it from dying out.
 

1. What is mathematical modelling and how is it used in fishery management?

Mathematical modelling is a process of creating mathematical equations and algorithms to represent a real-world system or phenomenon. In fishery management, mathematical modelling is used to analyze and predict fish population dynamics, assess the impact of fishing activities, and make informed decisions for sustainable harvest.

2. What is the harvest equation and why is it important in fishery management?

The harvest equation is a mathematical model that describes the relationship between fish population, fishing effort, and fishing mortality. It is important in fishery management because it helps estimate the maximum sustainable yield and determine the optimal level of fishing effort to maintain healthy fish populations.

3. How is the harvest equation calculated and what are its variables?

The harvest equation is calculated by taking into account the population growth rate, natural mortality rate, and fishing mortality rate. These variables are influenced by factors such as fish population size, age structure, and environmental conditions. The equation can be solved using different methods, such as the Beverton-Holt model or the Schaefer model.

4. Can the harvest equation be used for all types of fisheries?

While the harvest equation is a useful tool for managing many fisheries, it may not be applicable to all types of fisheries. It is best suited for single-species fisheries with a high degree of reproductive potential and predictable population dynamics. In complex multi-species fisheries, other models may be more suitable.

5. How accurate is the harvest equation in predicting fish population dynamics?

The accuracy of the harvest equation in predicting fish population dynamics depends on the accuracy of the input data and assumptions made in the model. It is important to regularly update the data and validate the model to ensure its accuracy. However, due to the many variables and uncertainties in fishery systems, the harvest equation may not always provide precise predictions, but it can still serve as a valuable tool for making informed decisions in fishery management.

Similar threads

  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
7
Views
5K
Replies
0
Views
2K
  • Differential Equations
Replies
1
Views
694
Replies
12
Views
183
  • MATLAB, Maple, Mathematica, LaTeX
Replies
0
Views
1K
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
1
Views
2K
Replies
26
Views
1K
Replies
1
Views
3K
  • Introductory Physics Homework Help
Replies
2
Views
802
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
7
Views
2K
Back
Top