Calculating Probability in Russian Roulette Game | Homework Questions

  • Thread starter PsychonautQQ
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In summary, the game of Russian roulette involves a player inserting one cartridge into a revolver with five empty chambers. The player spins the drum and aims at their head, pulling the trigger. The probability of the player still being alive after playing the game N times is 1/(5-n) where n is the number of trigger pulls. The probability of the player surviving N-1 turns and then being shot on the Nth turn is (1/(5-n))^N. The mean number of times the player gets to pull the trigger is N.
  • #1
PsychonautQQ
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Homework Statement


1.In the ``game'' of Russian roulette, the player inserts a single cartridge into the drum of a revolver, leaving the other five chambers of the drum empty. The player then spins the drum, aims at his/her head, and pulls the trigger. 1.What is the probability of the player still being alive after playing the game [tex]N[/tex] times?
2.What is the probability of the player surviving [tex]N-1[/tex] turns in this game, and then being shot the [tex]Nth[/tex] time he/she pulls the trigger?
3.What is the mean number of times the player gets to pull the trigger?


The Attempt at a Solution


(I'm in the process of learning LaTex, but for now...)

1. The chances of the person still being with 5 chambers is

[tex]\sum_{n=zero}^4 \frac{1}{5-n}[/tex]
series from n=0 to n=4 (1/(5-n)
right? This would equate to 1/(5-0) + 1/(5-1) + 1/(5-2) etc etc...

i'm a bit stumped at question #2 however.
 
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  • #2
First write out the chance that when the trigger is pulled the bullet is not under the hammer: this will also give you the chance the bullet is under the hammer.
Now for the first question: if the player is still alive after N trigger pulls, the bullet was not under the hammer any of those times (not the first AND not the second AND ... AND not the Nth): how would you find the probability of that joint event?

For the second: if the player is not shot until trigger pull N, that means the first N-1 tries did not have the bullet under the trigger AND the Nth trigger pull did: find the probability of that joint event.

As a start to see what happens, you might try working out each solution in the very special case N = 3, just to see how the numbers work out.
 

1. How is the probability of winning calculated in a Russian Roulette game?

The probability of winning in a Russian Roulette game is calculated by dividing the number of empty chambers in the revolver by the total number of chambers. For example, if the revolver has 6 chambers and only one of them is loaded, the probability of winning would be 1/6.

2. What is the difference between theoretical probability and experimental probability in a Russian Roulette game?

Theoretical probability is the probability calculated based on mathematical principles and assumptions, while experimental probability is the probability calculated based on actual observations and data from conducting multiple trials of the game. In a Russian Roulette game, theoretical probability can be used to determine the expected outcome, while experimental probability can provide a more accurate estimate of the actual likelihood of winning.

3. How does the number of players affect the probability of winning in a Russian Roulette game?

The number of players does not affect the probability of winning in a Russian Roulette game. Each player has an equal chance of winning, as the probability of the loaded chamber being fired remains the same regardless of the number of players.

4. Is there a way to increase the probability of winning in a Russian Roulette game?

No, there is no way to increase the probability of winning in a Russian Roulette game. The game is based on chance and the probability of winning is fixed. However, players can choose to not participate in the game or use strategies such as not spinning the revolver to minimize their risk.

5. What is the expected outcome of playing multiple rounds of Russian Roulette?

The expected outcome of playing multiple rounds of Russian Roulette is that the more rounds played, the higher the likelihood of experiencing the negative outcome of the loaded chamber being fired. This is due to the law of large numbers, which states that as the number of trials increases, the actual outcomes will approach the theoretical probability.

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