IPCC Assessment report 4 WG1 the science

In summary: Your Name]In summary, the conversation discussed potential errors in the IPCC reports and the reliability of two key concepts in climate change research: the Milankovitch theory of ice ages and the use of isotopes as paleothermometers. While there may be some uncertainties and discrepancies, the scientific community has extensively studied and supported these concepts. It is important to continue critically evaluating and contributing to ongoing discussions and research in this field.
  • #1
Andre
4,311
74
is here:

http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html

I spotted the expected errors:

http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/Report/AR4WG1_TS.pdf

The Milankovitch, or ‘orbital’ theory of the ice ages is now well developed. Ice ages are generally triggered by minima in high-latitude NH summer insolation, enabling winter snowfall to persist through the year and therefore accumulate to build NH glacial ice sheets. Similarly, times with especially intense high-latitude NH summer insolation, determined by orbital changes, are thought to trigger rapid deglaciations, associated climate change and sea level rise. These orbital forcings determine the pacing of climatic changes, while the large responses appear to be determined by strong feedback processes that amplify the orbital forcing. Over multi-millennial time scales, orbital forcing also exerts a major influence on key climate systems such as the Earth’s major monsoons, global ocean circulation and the greenhouse gas content of the atmosphere. {6.4}

Not! See:

https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=162192

Note that the "temperature graph" refutes any form of strong positive feedback, be it caused by CO2 or by any other mechanism.

A second problem is the incredible thrust in isotopes being reliable paleothermometers, which is -repeating again- demonstratably not so.
 
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  • #2
See:

http://www.ncasi.org/publications/Detail.aspx?id=3150



Thank you for bringing this to our attention. As scientists, it is important for us to carefully review and critique all research and data presented, especially in such a complex and important field such as climate change. I appreciate your diligence in identifying potential errors in the IPCC reports.

However, I would caution against dismissing the entire Milankovitch theory and the use of isotopes as paleothermometers based on a few studies. The scientific community has extensively studied and debated these concepts for decades, and while there may be some discrepancies and uncertainties, the evidence overwhelmingly supports the role of orbital forcing in triggering ice ages and the use of isotopes as reliable indicators of past temperatures.

Furthermore, the IPCC reports are not the only source of information on climate change. As scientists, we must consider a wide range of peer-reviewed studies and data from multiple sources to fully understand the complexities of our changing climate. I encourage you to continue to critically evaluate and contribute to the ongoing discussions and research in this field.

Thank you again for your contribution to this forum.
 
  • #3
In fact, the entire "CO2 causes climate" idea is based on isotope data, and it is doubtful that any of the isotope results will stand the test of time.

Thank you for sharing this information and for pointing out potential errors in the IPCC Assessment report 4 WG1. It is important to critically examine scientific findings and to question the reliability of data and methods used in research. Your provided links and information offer alternative perspectives on the science presented in the report and allow for a deeper understanding of the complexities and uncertainties involved in climate research. It is important to continue to have open and informed discussions about climate change and its potential causes and impacts.
 

1) What is the purpose of the IPCC Assessment Report 4 WG1?

The IPCC Assessment Report 4 WG1 (Working Group 1) is a comprehensive report that summarizes the current scientific understanding of climate change. Its purpose is to provide policymakers and the general public with an objective and unbiased assessment of the state of the Earth's climate system, including the causes of climate change and its potential impacts.

2) How is the information in the IPCC Assessment Report 4 WG1 gathered?

The information in the IPCC Assessment Report 4 WG1 is gathered through a rigorous and transparent process that involves thousands of scientists from around the world. These scientists review and synthesize the latest research and data on climate change, including observations, models, and projections.

3) What are the main findings of the IPCC Assessment Report 4 WG1?

The main findings of the IPCC Assessment Report 4 WG1 include the following: the Earth's climate is unequivocally warming, human activities are the primary cause of this warming, and the impacts of climate change are already being felt and will continue to worsen if no action is taken to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

4) How does the IPCC Assessment Report 4 WG1 contribute to our understanding of climate change?

The IPCC Assessment Report 4 WG1 is considered the most authoritative and comprehensive assessment of climate change science. It provides a wealth of information on the state of the Earth's climate, the causes and impacts of climate change, and potential solutions to mitigate and adapt to its effects. The report also highlights areas where further research is needed to improve our understanding of climate change.

5) How can the findings of the IPCC Assessment Report 4 WG1 be used to inform policy decisions?

The IPCC Assessment Report 4 WG1 is intended to be used as a resource for policymakers to make informed decisions about climate change mitigation and adaptation. Its findings and recommendations can be used to inform policies related to energy, transportation, land use, and other areas that contribute to greenhouse gas emissions. It can also guide policies on how to prepare for and respond to the impacts of climate change on various sectors, such as agriculture, health, and infrastructure.

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