Will someone hit this softball out of the park?

  • Thread starter feveredego
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In summary, the average distance a softball can be hit is between 200-250 feet, with elite players hitting up to 300 feet. Factors that affect the likelihood of hitting a home run include the power and technique of the hitter, the speed and movement of the pitch, and wind and weather conditions. The size of the field also plays a role, as a smaller field can make it easier to hit a home run. However, hitting a home run every time is not possible, as even the best hitters have a 10% home run percentage. It is also not possible to hit a softball out of the park without a bat, as the force and speed needed can only be generated with a bat.
  • #1
feveredego
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What are the odds of something that statistically should happen 1 in 207 times happening 3 times in 66 occurrences? Let me know.
 
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  • #2
Short answer:
[tex]p=\binom{66}{3}(\frac{1}{207})^{3}(\frac{206}{207})^{63}\approx\frac{1}{263}[/tex]
The probability for a single, specific arrangement is [tex](\frac{1}{207})^{3}(\frac{206}{207})^{63}[/tex]
the binomial coefficient tells us how many such arrangements exist (in your case, 45760 different arrangements of 3 "hits" and 63 "misses")
Welcome to PF!
 
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  • #3


It is difficult to accurately predict whether or not someone will hit this softball out of the park, as it depends on various factors such as the skill level of the player, the speed and trajectory of the pitch, and other external factors. However, based on the given statistics, the odds of something that statistically should happen 1 in 207 times happening 3 times in 66 occurrences is quite low. It would mean that the event is occurring at a rate much higher than expected, which could be due to a variety of reasons such as luck or exceptional skill. Ultimately, it is impossible to determine the exact odds without more information, but it is safe to say that it would be a rare occurrence.
 

1. How far can a softball be hit?

The average distance a softball can be hit is between 200-250 feet. However, elite players have been known to hit the ball up to 300 feet.

2. What factors affect the likelihood of hitting a home run?

The main factors that affect the likelihood of hitting a home run in softball are the power and technique of the hitter, the speed and movement of the pitch, and the wind and weather conditions.

3. How does the size of the field impact the chances of hitting a home run?

The size of the field can greatly impact the chances of hitting a home run. A smaller field with shorter distances to the fence can make it easier for a hitter to hit the ball out of the park, while a larger field with longer distances can make it more difficult.

4. Can a softball be hit out of the park every time?

No, it is not possible for a softball to be hit out of the park every time. Even the best hitters in the game have a home run percentage of around 10%. There are many variables that can affect the outcome of a hit, making it impossible to hit a home run every time.

5. Is it possible for a softball to be hit out of the park without a bat?

No, it is not possible for a softball to be hit out of the park without a bat. The force and speed needed to hit a home run can only be generated with a bat. However, a softball can be thrown out of the park by a fielder making a strong throw from the outfield.

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