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Dice - how many walls? |
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| Dec1-12, 04:36 AM | #1 |
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Dice - how many walls?
Hey! :-) I have got question about verisimilitude.
I have got classic one dice. The dice can have 2-20 walls, where is numers from 1, 2, 3, ...20 (two-walls: only 1, 2; seven-walls: 1,2,3,...,7). You can throw with dice. When you have got largest number on dice (two-walls: 2, seven-walls:7) you can throw again. AND NOW - Which dice (how many walls) is the best for largest mean value totals throws? Logical - you have got 2-walles= big verisimilitude you throw again but small numbers - you have got 20-walles= very small verisimilitude you throw again but very big numbers... So... Have you got any idea and MATHEMATICAL PROOF for it? |
| Dec1-12, 05:57 AM | #2 |
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Welcome to PF, Numeriprimi!
![]() Suppose we start with a dice with 2 walls. And let's call the mean total value E. Then the chance is 1/2 that you get a 1, which would be the final total. And there is another chance of 1/2 that you get 2, in which case you throw again. After this you can expect the same mean total value E to follow. So the actual total would become (2+E). In other words: $$E = \frac 1 2 \times 1 + \frac 1 2 \times (2 + E)$$ Solve for E and you get your mean total value.... |
| Dec1-12, 09:07 AM | #3 |
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So... If I understand... This is verisimilitude about two-walls. Yes, there is quite big verisimilitude to throwing again, this I know. However, what others numbers? I still don't know which dice is best for the bigger mean value and why :-( I maybe badly wrote the example or I didn't understand you... So, can you explain me this problem again? Thank you very much. Greetings from Czech Republic to PF :-) |
| Dec1-12, 09:39 AM | #4 |
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Dice - how many walls?
Ah well, with an n-sided dice, your expectation is:
$$E=\frac 1 n \times 1 + \frac 1 n \times 2 + ... + \frac 1 n \times (n - 1) + \frac 1 n \times (n + E)$$ I am skipping a few steps in between, getting: $$E = \frac n 2 + 1 + \frac E n$$ Which can be solved to the final formula: $$E = (\frac n 2 + 1) \cdot \frac n {n-1}$$ So for instance for a 2-sided dice, you get ##E = (\frac 2 2 + 1) \cdot \frac 2 {2-1} = 4##. In particular this expression becomes bigger for bigger n. So you will have the biggest result for a 20-sided dice, which is ##E = (\frac {20} 2 + 1) \cdot \frac {20} {20-1} = \frac {220} {19} \approx 11.6## |
| Dec1-12, 10:06 AM | #5 |
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Nearly, but the second equation should be
[tex]E = \frac{(n-1)}2+1+E[/tex] which gives you [tex]E = \frac{n(n+1)}{2(n-1)}[/tex] But the conclusion is the same: The larger n gets, the larger E will be. |
| Dec1-12, 10:52 AM | #6 |
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Ou, that looks good :-) I think I understand you. Thank both of you very much.
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| Dec4-12, 11:25 AM | #7 |
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By the way- there is no such thing as one "dice". "Dice" is the plural of "die".
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| dice, number, proof, verisimilitude |
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