Conditional expectation on multiple variables

In summary, to compute E[X|Y1,Y2], assume all random variables are discrete and use the formula p(x|y1,y2) = p(x,y1,y2)/p(y1,y2). If Y1 and Y2 are independent, p(y1, y2) = p(y1)p(y2), and the expected value can be simplified to a function of x alone. In the discrete case, the expected value is found by summing x times the probability of x given y1 and y2, and in the continuous case, it is found by integrating x times the probability of x given y1 and y2. The answer may depend on both y1 and y2.
  • #1
dabd
25
0
How to compute [tex]E[X|Y1,Y2][/tex]?
Assume all random variables are discrete.

I tried [tex]E[X|Y1,Y2] = \sum_x{x p(x|y1,y2)[/tex] but I'm not sure how to compute [tex]p(x|y1,y2] = \frac{p(x \cap y1 \cap y2)}{p(y1 \cap y2)}[/tex]

If it is correct, how can I simplify the expression if Y1 and Y2 are iid?
 
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  • #2
If y1 and y2 are independent then p(y1, y2) = p(y1)p(y2).
 
  • #3
In general

[tex]
p(x \mid y_1, y_2) = \frac{p(x,y_1,y_2)}{p(y_1,y_2)}
[/tex]

where the numerator is the joint density (or mass function for discrete case) of all three, and the denominator is the marginal of the two ys. You treat this as a function of [itex] x [/itex] alone. Then, in the discrete case, the expected value is

[tex]
\sum x p(x \mid y_1, y_2)
[/tex]

and in the continuous case it is

[tex]
\int x p(x \mid y_1, y_2) \, dx
[/tex]

In each case it is possible for the answer to depend on both [itex] y_1, y_2 [/itex].
 

1. What is conditional expectation on multiple variables?

Conditional expectation on multiple variables is a statistical concept that measures the expected value of one variable when the values of other variables are known. It is based on the idea of finding the average outcome of a variable, given certain conditions or information about other related variables.

2. How is conditional expectation on multiple variables calculated?

The calculation of conditional expectation on multiple variables involves using the conditional probability formula, which takes into account the probability of one variable occurring given the occurrence of another variable. This is then multiplied by the value of the variable in question, and the process is repeated for all possible values of the other variables.

3. What is the difference between conditional expectation and unconditional expectation?

Conditional expectation on multiple variables takes into account the values of other related variables, whereas unconditional expectation only considers the overall probability of a single variable occurring. In other words, conditional expectation is a more specific and tailored measure, while unconditional expectation is a more general measure.

4. What are some applications of conditional expectation on multiple variables?

Conditional expectation on multiple variables has many practical applications in fields such as finance, economics, and engineering. For example, it can be used to predict stock prices based on various market conditions, or to estimate the future demand for a product based on different marketing strategies.

5. Can conditional expectation on multiple variables be negative?

Yes, it is possible for conditional expectation on multiple variables to be negative. This can occur when the values of the other variables have a significant influence on the expected value of the variable in question, leading to a lower overall expected value. It is important to interpret negative conditional expectations carefully in the context of the problem at hand.

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