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[Evidence for] Telekinesis ? |
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| Jun2-04, 08:31 PM | #1 |
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[Evidence for] Telekinesis ?
Ive read a few articles about telekinetics and all those mind sciences and Im just wondering whether you guys believe in or not. The articles Ive read are extremely convincing and said that they have to do with quantum theory. Me, being only 14, dont know much about quantum theory. I mainly want to know your opinion on telekinesis and stuff like that.
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| Jun3-04, 01:54 PM | #2 |
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My opinion is that most of the mysto-physics are pseudo scientific areas and should always be looked at with the most critical eye.
However, even if guite useless in the short perspective, these studies of supernatural "phenomenas" may be of importance in the long run. Just think of alchemy: those guys spent hundreds of years in their quest to make gold out of rubbish. Allthough the quest was doomed the hunt led to numerous discoveries which ultimatley made up the foundaitions of modern chemistry. So even if some maniac waste his/her life trying to prove the conection between quantum mechanics and flying rocks, he/she still have the chance to stumble across something of importance. If not, talented people can focus on the important stuff without having to bother about the more doubtful areas of science. I haven't seen the articles you're reffering to, but do have in mind that most things can be made to look convincing in media. I'm also not a master of quantum physics, but I strongly doubt that somone can move anything directly by thought, and even if so, I doubt that it will have anything to do with quantum mechanics. Remember that science can be used in many purposes. I've tried to use relativistic arguments when I was late for calss... that didn't work. |
| Jun3-04, 07:06 PM | #3 |
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A couple of people in the circus do telekenesis let me tell you its all an act
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| Jun3-04, 08:48 PM | #4 |
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[Evidence for] Telekinesis ?
I will go with bozo...I think psychokinesis (why do people insist on calling it telekinesis) is just a bunch of lies, just like a lot of other 'mind-phenomena' is.
Like fortune tellers and horrorscopers - want to have some fun? Find yourself a fortune teller in your local downtown mall and, when you go in, show absolutely no emotion. That's what they base everything on. Your reactions. If you show no reactions, (my teacher told a story of him doing this, my psychology teacher) it really messes them up. They just don't know what to do! |
| Jun3-04, 10:40 PM | #5 |
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I think that if anybody could do telekinesis we'd probably know about it. Let's face it, telekinesis would be an incredibly powerful weapon, even without much control over it it would still be quite easy to use it to cause heart attacks, fatal brain hemhorrages etc. Now there's no reason to believe that telekinetic powers should be limited to people who intend to use them for nice purposes (the laws of physics have no concept of morality, for instance Newton's Law of Gravitation doesn't suddenly stop being true when you try to drop a ten ton block of lead on somebody's head). So sooner or later, we should expect that some psychopath with telekinetic powers would come along and use them to perpetrate the psychic equivalent of a shooting massacre. I think we'd notice an incident where everybody who comes near such a person suddenly dies of a fatal stroke.
This is not to say that telekinesis is necessarily impossible - merely that it is highly unlikely that with our current knowledge of consiousness that anybody can do it. |
| Jun3-04, 11:57 PM | #6 |
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AS for the original post, its perfectly possible that quatnum theory could explain such phenomenon and such phenonmenon are real, and when i say perfectly possible, i mean i cannot definitively prove otherwise. However there is no real evidence to suggest that this explanation is any better any other explanation, they are all equally speculative, and equally unscientific, despite any reference to modern theories. |
| Jun10-04, 03:58 AM | #7 |
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Well, when you look at it, is there any REAL evidence to justify the heavily belaboured quantum theory? I am afraid that it, much like Einstiens relativity, have been overused and abused by dreamers and screamers, psuedoscientists and the real McCoy both to accomodate whatever latest theory has the scientific communities knickers in a knot |
| Jun10-04, 02:03 PM | #8 |
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This all relates to experiments in which the viewer attempts to affect the role of a dice or some other random event. No dramtic examples of this sort of thing are known. For example, no one has ever demonstrated the ability to levitate a chair. Our mentor Hypnagogue knows about this I think...I will try to dig up anything significant. |
| Jun10-04, 08:29 PM | #9 |
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Something else to mention is that seeing objects move by themselves isn't uncommon in hallucinations. I have read stories of people seeing things move in hallucinations caused by sleep deprivation, simple partial seizures, general psychotic conditions, and drugs. Stories from people in such states of mind add to the lore about telekinesis. I can remember that back in the 60s and 70s people who took drugs were very loyal to the belief that drugs allowed for a glimpse into an alternate "reality", and they felt these experiences were authentic. There were no end of stories from people who claimed the drugs allowed them to "do things with the mind" they couldn't otherwise do.
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| Jun12-04, 06:40 PM | #10 |
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RE: "The articles Ive read are extremely convincing and said that they have to do with quantum theory. Me, being only 14, dont know much about quantum theory."
How could it be so convincing if it relied on science you don't understand? RE: "A few scientists are claiming that enough of these slight statistical anomalies are now seen to so as to qualify as scientific evidence, but I know of no major journals that have published this conclusion." This is the voodoo they call meta-analysis. When scientists trot out meta-analysis, head for the hills. |
| Jun12-04, 11:07 PM | #11 |
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| Jun13-04, 02:11 AM | #12 |
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| Jun13-04, 02:23 AM | #13 |
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| Jun13-04, 02:31 AM | #14 |
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| Jun13-04, 03:03 AM | #15 |
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Assuming we are talking about the same thing, a meta-analysis combines the results of numerous studies to try and achieve statistical significance. There are numerous problems with it:
1. To be accurate, those experiments that produced negative results would have to be published at the same frequency as those with positive results. This is almost never true. In fact, it isn't even close. Those that claim that a huge number of such "file drawer" experiments would have had to be performed to discount the results of a meta-analysis are simply wrong. I can generate a completely null result by having one file drawer experiment for each published experiment. If one experiment showed that heads appeared 52% of the time with a sample population of 200 throws, then a file-drawer experiment of 200 throws showing heads appearing 48% of the time would produce a combined null result. If anything, there are probably far more file-drawer experiments than published experiments. 2. The individual studies do not have the same designs. Sure, the experimenters reject those studies that have sufficiently dissimilar designs (as if you can really define "similar"). But all this does is give them one subjective means of throwing out experiments that they know will not help their cause. 3. The studies used in a meta-analysis are hand-picked, thus losing objectivity. Because meta-analysis studies are done on experiments involving very feint (probably nonexistent) phenomena, then any subjectivity mixed into the process overshadows the mathematical results. In other words, when performing experiments to discover phenomena that is extremely hard to detect, precise control conditions are vital. But meta-analysis incorporates even more subjectivity than the individual experiments. 4. You lose accountabilty when the individual studies were performed by researchers who did not cooperate with each other. How do you know that 10% of the researchers didn't cheat? 5. You cannot replicate the study. Suppose a meta-analysis produces evidence for an effect. How would you replicate the study? Here is my opinion: If you don't have statistical significance, you ain't got squat. Meta-analyses are performed by researchers who simply will not take "no" for an answer because their own ideology depends on a "yes." (And "yes" always seems to be what the meta-analysis produces.) Now, are there legitimate reasons to use a meta-analysis? Sure. It can sometimes point to phenomena that MIGHT exist and, therefore, could be a source for future experimentation. But taken alone it isn't evidence of anything. (In my opinion, of course. Others disagree. I will leave it up to the members to decide if they want to believe in its efficacy. If so, I suggest they leave their wallets at home.) |
| Jun13-04, 10:07 AM | #16 |
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Thought provoking stuff, JDY. My only problem with your analysis is that you seem to be suggesting that meta-analyses tend biased in favour of the phenomenon under scrutiny. This may be true - and my experience is limited - but I know of at least one meta-anaysis that was fairly clearly weighted against the phenomenon being investigated...
...in fact I have just grabbed an example: Newell et al. (2002) in their investigation of psychological treatments for cancer (published in a mainstream journal) coded results of trials as being nonsignificant unless more than 50% of measures of the same variable we found to be significant e.g. if a psychometric measure of anxiety found patients to be significantly less anxious, but cortisol levels (stress hormones) had not significantly decreased, then the overall measure was seen as nonsignificant. In general the standard of proof is raised for non-conventional research, so I am surprised to hear you say that it is not generally the case in meta-analyses. Tell me it aint so, JDY? |
| Jun13-04, 12:28 PM | #17 |
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When performing experiments, scientists are often out to discover a phenomenon. When the phenomenon is not discovered, the value of the research drops tremendously.
It would be nice to live in a world where negative results count for as much as positive results. However, if you perform a study to find a link between (say) electromagnetic fields and cancer, your study has much greater chance of being published if you found a positive connection between the two. It isn't just the researchers at fault. The publications don't want to publish oodles of "Didn't Find It" articles. So scientific research is inherently biased in favor of positive results (which is why the list of unsafe foods increases constantly). Simply put, positive results are more newsworthy and, therefore, more "worthy" for publication. We can counteract this bias to a large extent by demanding replication before making assumptions. (But the media make the assumptions regardless.) But meta-analysis has no provision for replication. Meta-analysis simply takes the biased results from numerous experiments and gleans an outcome. The Emporer's Nose fallacy (see Feynman) now takes over. You don't get more meaningful results simply be increasing the amount of faulty data. My biggest complaing with meta-analysis is simple: It introduces bias, contrary to one of the main goals of statistics. What good is any statistical method that actually INTRODUCES bias? RE: "In general the standard of proof is raised for non-conventional research," To my knowledge, the measure of statistical significance is not changed for non-conventional research. They simply cannot meet the goal. One more thought: In order for a result to be convincing, the result has to be deduced from clean statistical methods free from serious objections. Since meta-analysis has so many problems associated with it, what good is it? |
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