Will Hawking or Penrose ever win Nobel Prize?

Click For Summary

Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around the potential for Stephen Hawking or Roger Penrose to win a Nobel Prize in Physics, exploring the conditions under which such an award might occur and the historical context of Nobel Prize selections.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant suggests that Hawking could win a Nobel Prize if there is a study of a real black hole that confirms his radiation theory.
  • Another participant expresses skepticism about Penrose winning, unless he or someone else develops a testable Theory of Everything (TOE) based on twistors.
  • Concerns are raised about the Nobel committee's historical preference for awarding prizes based on strong experimental evidence rather than theoretical contributions.
  • One participant notes that if Penrose has not received a Nobel Prize by now, it is unlikely he ever will.
  • It is mentioned that the Nobel committee tends to award prizes only when they are confident in the experimental validation of theories.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the likelihood of Hawking or Penrose winning a Nobel Prize, with some believing it is possible under certain conditions while others are more pessimistic about Penrose's chances.

Contextual Notes

Participants reference the historical context of Nobel Prize awards, noting that theoretical physicists often face challenges in receiving recognition without experimental validation of their ideas.

Nenad
Messages
698
Reaction score
0
my question is simple: Will Hawking or Penrose ever win Nobel Prize? And if yes, when do you think it will come.
 
Physics news on Phys.org
Hawking maybe, if they ever get to study a real black hole and confirm his radiation. Penrose I doubt it, unless he or somebody else brings home a TOE based on twistors that can be tested by genuine experiments and pass them. Even then he would share the prize with "whoever" (maybe Witten, for example).

The Nobel committee has historically been snotty to theorists. Einstein got his for the photoelectric effect, not relativity; others had to wait till some experimentalists confirmed their ideas. Witten has won the Field medal of the mathematicians - their equivalent of the Nobel - but it will be a long long time before they give him the Physics Nobel.
 
If Penrose has not gotten one by now, I am afraid he never will.
 
The Nobel committee likes to make sure that they're never wrong. They'll only award a prize if there is very strong experimental evidence.
 

Similar threads

  • · Replies 35 ·
2
Replies
35
Views
5K
  • · Replies 48 ·
2
Replies
48
Views
9K
  • · Replies 20 ·
Replies
20
Views
3K
  • · Replies 46 ·
2
Replies
46
Views
23K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
1K
  • · Replies 40 ·
2
Replies
40
Views
8K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
2K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
4K
  • · Replies 43 ·
2
Replies
43
Views
7K
  • · Replies 14 ·
Replies
14
Views
2K