Biology: New ideas about massive Permian extinction

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around theories regarding the massive Permian extinction, particularly focusing on a hypothesis proposed by Gregory Ryskin that attributes the event to a significant explosion of methane from the ocean. Participants explore various perspectives on this theory, its implications, and related concepts in extinction events.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants express skepticism about the validity of Ryskin's methane explosion theory, questioning the scientific rigor behind it and its connections to unrelated narratives.
  • Concerns are raised regarding the feasibility of methane dispersal and its potential effects on a global scale, with calls for more detailed explanations of the mechanisms involved.
  • One participant suggests that the timing of mass extinctions may indicate a common cause, proposing meteorite impacts as a recurring factor, while another participant argues that methane buildup could represent a more periodic phenomenon.
  • Questions are posed about the potential for chemical markers in sediment that could validate the methane explosion theory, as well as the existence of bioremediation organisms that could respond to such an event.
  • There is mention of methanotrophs, bacteria that utilize methane, and their possible population dynamics following the extinction event.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach consensus on the validity of the methane explosion theory or the periodicity of extinction events. Multiple competing views are presented, particularly regarding the causes of mass extinctions and the implications of the methane hypothesis.

Contextual Notes

Some participants note that the theory of periodicity in extinction events is not universally accepted and that the dates of major extinction events are often disputed. There is also uncertainty regarding the evidence needed to support or refute the methane explosion hypothesis.

Who May Find This Useful

This discussion may be of interest to those studying paleobiology, extinction events, and the interactions between geological and biological processes in Earth's history.

curro_jimenez
I have read a surprising theory about the massive Permian extinction at http://www.nature.com/nsu/030818/030818-16.html.

Briefly, Gregory Ryskin of Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois, argues that a tremendous explosion of the methane dissolved under the seas has caused the extinction.

Opinions?
 
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My opinion is the link doesn't work.

Think you were looking for this:

http://www.nature.com/nsu/030818/030818-16.html

In that case, My first comment is I think it's absurd that that excuse for a scientist says "It might explain the biblical flood". That's like saying he's found evidence that explains The Lord of the Rings. He should be stripped of his credentials and deported...

Moving right along, another one makes the comment that this extinction is the "single most important event in Biology". I really doubt that, seeing as how Biology would not exist if life (as we call it) had not risen from non-life.

Then I saw the quote from the bible. How is a real event supposed to "explain" a fictional event? I'm completely confused - I did not know there was a link between real life and Stephen King's latest thriller.

My opinions on the hypothesis are that sure it should be looked into and sounds decent enough, but:

1. It needs to be determined if this methane locale could realistic spread without another natural occurrence diminishing it's strength further away from the origin.

2. Someone needs to get this (non)scientist off the case. He's apparently capable of making up any scientific data just to try to prove the flood.

:)
 
BF, there is a "Religion" Forum for you to rant about your religious beliefs. Please post your doctrinal statements there. And please leave bigotry out of the site altogether.

I also would like to see more explanation of how the methane would react to mitigating factors as it propagates away from the source site. Although I seem to remember seeing something of this theory before, and I believe the idea was that when a certain amount of methane from the sea had boiled off, pressures were decreased to such a degree that pockets from all the ocean's floors began to boil as well, making it a non-localised, global phenominon.

I still have trouble buying it, though. The timing of all the mass extinctions suggests to me that they are resultant from a common, recurring cause. This has lead me to conclude that meteorite impacts at semi-regular intervals caused them all. I must confess it would now take quite a lot of evidence to change my position.

(Wouldn't you know; now that I've become fairly certain of my position, I've lost my momentum!)
 
Lurch - Not to interested in responding, because I get the sense you're not a very welcomed person here. Apparently you have some anti-science sentiments, but attempting to claim science is religion is pretty much in the realm of spam. I wouldn't want to waste anyone elses time who came here for knowledge and not strangeness.

Have a good day and shower that chip off your shoulder. :)


Originally posted by LURCH
BF, there is a "Religion" Forum for you to rant about your religious beliefs. Please post your doctrinal statements there. And please leave bigotry out of the site altogether.

I also would like to see more explanation of how the methane would react to mitigating factors as it propagates away from the source site. Although I seem to remember seeing something of this theory before, and I believe the idea was that when a certain amount of methane from the sea had boiled off, pressures were decreased to such a degree that pockets from all the ocean's floors began to boil as well, making it a non-localised, global phenominon.

I still have trouble buying it, though. The timing of all the mass extinctions suggests to me that they are resultant from a common, recurring cause. This has lead me to conclude that meteorite impacts at semi-regular intervals caused them all. I must confess it would now take quite a lot of evidence to change my position.

(Wouldn't you know; now that I've become fairly certain of my position, I've lost my momentum!)
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Originally posted by BiologyForums
Lurch - Not to interested in responding, because I get the sense you're not a very welcomed person here.

Personal attacks are also considered unacceptable behavior at this site. Please refer to thehttps://www.physicsforums.com/misc/guidelines.html .

Found a link that contains a graph of the major and minor extinction events, but it is important to remember that some of the dates are held in dispute, and the theory itself (known as "periodicity") is not universally accepted.

Does anyone know if this "methane explosion" theory makes any predictions that could be verified? Seems like such an event would leave chemical markers in sediment, for example. Perhaps such indicators have already been searched for; have any been found? (Other than CO2, that is. It would also be the predicted result of a large fire, or a runaway greenhouse effect.)
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Also, are there any known bioremediation organisms for methane? If such organisms exist, there should be a sudden explosion of their populations immediately following the extinction event.
 
Originally posted by LURCH
Also, are there any known bioremediation organisms for methane?

As far as I know, some group of bacteria and archea can use methane as a source of carbon. These bacteria are referred to as methanotrophs. Methanotrophs can be used in biorediation. Methanotrophs can be found closed to anaerobic methane producing microorganism in environment such wetlands, rice pads and marine system. Methanotrophs does not use all the methane produce by

Originally posted by LURCH
If such organisms exist, there should be a sudden explosion of their populations immediately following the extinction event.

The problem is how would you find fossil record of bacteria? Maybe genetics can help. Maybe marine methanotrophs have greater diversity and not as closely related to terrestrial methanotrophs.
 
Originally posted by LURCH
Also, are there any known bioremediation organisms for methane? If such organisms exist, there should be a sudden explosion of their populations immediately following the extinction event.

One species' catastrophe is another's opportunity. Thank you K-T event!
 
Originally posted by LURCH
The timing of all the mass extinctions suggests to me that they are resultant from a common, recurring cause. This has lead me to conclude that meteorite impacts at semi-regular intervals caused them all. I must confess it would now take quite a lot of evidence to change my position.
It seems to me as if metero impacts would be the least periodicic... meh...periodical phenomenon of the list wouldn't it? I mean, the only way I could think of meteor strikes being periodical woul dbe based on some solar phenomenon of the Earth moving through an asteroid belt or something once every x thousand years. Now even if this happened, then the event would only have a chance of occurring every x thousand years, but in fact miss one or two here and there.

I would say that a Methane Build up style of Mass Extinction is a much more likely periodicity based phenomenon.

(Not that I really have a valid opinion on either...this is entirely based on the periodicity concept.)
 
  • #10
Originally posted by Another God


I would say that a Methane Build up style of Mass Extinction is a much more likely periodicity based phenomenon.

(Not that I really have a valid opinion on either...this is entirely based on the periodicity concept.)

Glad you made that last statement. And, at the risk of seeming redundant, I'll say it again; Periodicity is a highly debated concept and there may be no truth to it at all.

However, if it is correct, then the reasons I say meteor impacts are the most likely candidates are:

1) We have fairly good evidence that at least one mass extinction was caused by an impact event (the "K-T Killer"). So if all have the same cause...'nough said.

2) The periods (as shown on the chart at the link I posted earlier) coincide with the gallactic orbit of our Solar System. As you may already know, the Solar System is currently at a point in it's orbit around the gallaxy that puts us well "below" the gallactic plane. We are sort of "out in empty space", so to speak. In about 50-52 million yrs, we'll be here again (barring serious incident). In about 25 or 26 million yrs, we will be on the far side of the gallaxy, and roughly as far "above" the gallactic plane as we are now "below" it. During the time in between, we will pass through the most densely populated part of the Milky Way (or, of our neighborhood of it, anyhow). Here, there is much greater probability of gravitational disturbance of our star system, and things are much more likely to get jarred out of place. This area of greater gravitational turbulance is a realm through which we pass about every 26 million yrs, the same timescale on which mass extinctions are proposed to occur. This coinciding timetable suggests to me a causal relationship.
 
  • #11
Originally posted by LURCH
2) The periods (as shown on the chart at the link I posted earlier) coincide with the gallactic orbit of our Solar System. As you may already know, the Solar System is currently at a point in it's orbit around the gallaxy that puts us well "below" the gallactic plane. We are sort of "out in empty space", so to speak. In about 50-52 million yrs, we'll be here again (barring serious incident). In about 25 or 26 million yrs, we will be on the far side of the gallaxy, and roughly as far "above" the gallactic plane as we are now "below" it. During the time in between, we will pass through the most densely populated part of the Milky Way (or, of our neighborhood of it, anyhow). Here, there is much greater probability of gravitational disturbance of our star system, and things are much more likely to get jarred out of place. This area of greater gravitational turbulance is a realm through which we pass about every 26 million yrs, the same timescale on which mass extinctions are proposed to occur. This coinciding timetable suggests to me a causal relationship.
OK, that is reasonable enough. If we are moving through 'Stuff' for millions of years, then that's reasonable i guess.
 
  • #12
Besides, a lot of stuff is supposed to be orbiting the sun much farther than Pluto (or Neptune) [the Oort cloud, I think it's called].

The small gravitational disturbances produced on the system when it crosses the galactic plane may be enough to throw many of those objects towards the inner solar system.
 
  • #13
Originally posted by ahrkron
Besides, a lot of stuff is supposed to be orbiting the sun much farther than Pluto (or Neptune) [the Oort cloud, I think it's called].

First, there's the Kuiper Belt which contains Pluto-like objects (only smaller). Then, after that, is the Oort cloud, which contains long-period (i.e., infrequently seen from Earth) comets.

The small gravitational disturbances produced on the system when it crosses the galactic plane may be enough to throw many of those objects towards the inner solar system.

At that distance (Oort Cloud), gravity from the sun is so weak, that the slightest nudge (gravitational or otherwise) can alter the path of those objects.
 
  • #14
From the little I know about this theory I like it. It seems much more plausiblr than the theories suggesting a meteorite or asteriod impact, there just isn't enough evidence to support those theories. The eveidence that I have heard about suggest the Permian extinction occurred over an extended geological time frame, say 10 to 20 thousand years. I can't see a meteorite or asteroid impact causing extinction over that extended period of time. The combination of large scale volcanic episodes and a mass methane release I can however see working over 10 to 20 thousand years. And there does seem to be evidence that suggests just such a large scale volcanic episode at the right time. It is likely that one event lead to the other as well, and I think a recent theory suggests that the volcanic episodes caused a rise in global temperature, and this allowed methane to be released from ocean beds, causing a further rise in temerature.

(I admit most of my knowledge comes from popular science shows, so I can't be sure how accurate the research is). But since I've finished uni, and this topic has sparked my interest i think I may start reading into it. :smile:
 

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