over population

Angry Citizen

Most of this growth is coming from Africa, India, and the Middle East. Of the three, India is the most interesting. Its population is not educated, but education programs are effective and will work quite well at reducing their growth rate in the coming decades. But also its death rate is not very high, at least as compared to the Middle East and especially Africa. I suspect India will overtake China in population within the next few decades.

If the Arab Spring pans out, expect to see a lower Arab growth rate as well.

It sounds cold, but continued instability and growing desertification will likely keep the African population from exploding for a long time.

The nightmare scenario is not likely to happen by my estimation.

Evo

The problem seems to be with emmigration into other countries, IIRC.

mheslep

Most of the global population *growth* is coming from China and India, for now. The primary places where the *rate* of population growth is still strongly positive include Africa, especially Nigeria, the Middle East, and Pakistan.

Angry Citizen

Don't count on China exhibiting growth for long. They've essentially neutered themselves (no pun intended) with the one-child policy, especially with the lopsided m/f ratio. Their population is going to be, eh, problematic in a few decades. That's also one reason why I'm not jumping on the "Superpower China" bandwagon like many other people. Their economy is going to be so focused on providing for the security of the elderly that their workforce won't be able to do much else. Think the American "Baby Boomer" problem but about five times larger.

OmCheeto

Unless of course, we go back to the good old days where people worked till they died.


Life expectancy in USA
Year Male Female
1948 64.6 69.9

The graph and statistic make it look like nearly half of the men did work until they died back in '48.

And it does appear we are trending back, only this time


the ladies appear to be coming along for the ride.

hmm.... It would probably take grandpa, grandma, mom, and dad all working to pay for daycare for that one kid.......