Is Earth Headed for a Dinosaur-Like Extinction?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the potential for Earth to experience an extinction event similar to that of the dinosaurs, exploring various theories about atmospheric changes, evolutionary adaptations, and cosmic influences. Participants examine historical contexts, geological evidence, and speculative future scenarios.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants propose that the Earth's atmosphere has undergone significant changes over geological time, affecting the evolution and survival of species, including dinosaurs.
  • Others argue that the extinction of dinosaurs cannot solely be attributed to gradual environmental changes, questioning how this aligns with the K-T boundary evidence of a catastrophic event.
  • One participant suggests that solar winds may be contributing to the loss of Earth's atmosphere, while others challenge this idea, noting the stability of the atmosphere over billions of years.
  • There is a discussion about the potential future of Earth, with some speculating that increasing solar luminosity could lead to a runaway greenhouse effect similar to Venus.
  • Some participants express skepticism about the claims made regarding the sun's lifecycle and the implications for Earth's atmosphere, emphasizing the need for scientific evidence and caution against speculative scenarios.
  • Several participants highlight the importance of evolutionary adaptation in response to environmental changes, suggesting that dinosaurs would have evolved alongside shifting conditions.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of views, with no consensus on the mechanisms behind past extinctions or the future trajectory of Earth's atmosphere. Disagreements arise over the interpretations of geological evidence and the implications of solar activity.

Contextual Notes

Limitations include differing interpretations of geological data, assumptions about atmospheric dynamics, and the speculative nature of future scenarios based on current scientific understanding.

Mr.E Man
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The Life of a planet is in it's atmosphere.

Where have all the Dinosaurs gone? Did they succumb to a deadly plague? Were they frozen to death as a result of a massive meteor strike? OR were they eaten by colonizing Martians? The simple answer is: Probably Not!

Here's why. The primordial Earth was much different than it is today. While the fossil record is incomplete, there is enough evidence to make a sound conclusion. Cosmologicly speaking, our little blue dot in space looked much different during it's formation. Owing to massive gravitational and techtonic stresses the heavier parts of the emerging planet would have been very hot, thus creating a thick carbon dioxide rich water vapor laden atmosphere. From space our Earth would have appeared grey and lifeless at that time.

Jump forward a few eons, and as the Earth begins to cool, plant life develops. But not just any type of plants, large fleshy fast growing atmospheric eating machines. The extremely high amounts of carbon dioxide in the primordial atmosphere, while deadly to mammals, acts like Miracle Grow for these tropical plants. Combine that with an overabundance of steamy water vapor you've got a real global greenhouse.

Jump forward a few more eons, the Earth is cooler and the plant population is out of control. Enter the solution. To solve the massive problem of mass producing plants, you need a massive plant eating machine, to keep the massive plant eating machines in check, you need massive plant eating machine eaters. Thus commeth the age of the Dinosaurs.

Jump forward a few more eons, all of this time since their arrival, the plants have been happily converting carbon dioxide, water vapor, an assortment of atmospheric gases. and low level sunlight into oxygen, nitrogen, some other gasses, and humus. With what result? The plants start changing to match changes in their food source. Instead of fat fleshy water laden plants we now find thinner woodier plants that get most of their moisture from the ground instead of the air, these plants grow more slowly, and have fewer offspring.

But what about the Dinosaurs? With the change in atmosphere, came a change in plantlife, the primary food supply for the plant eating Dinosaurs. Over a period of a few million years the process continued with ever dwindling resources to sustain the Dinosaur population. As the plant eaters died out, so did the meat eaters.


So what does the future hold for our little blue home? One day, sad to say, the Earth will look much like the planet Mars. Barren and devoid of life.

You may be asking yourself, how can this be? Unfortunately basic physics is to blame.

Mars, as we now know went through a similar formation process to that of the Earth. It also had a heavy vapor canopy that collapsed creating great rift vallies in the torrential flooding that followed. While space probes have detected water on Mars, they find that the once heavy atmosphere in now thin and unable to support life as we know it. So then where did the atmosphere go?

Have you ever watched a tail form behind a comet? The Earth is venting atmosphere much like the tail of a comet. This slow but inevitable process is caused by the decrease in gravitational "attraction" in the upper atmosphere and the solar winds constantly bombarding the planet. The end result of a thinning atmosphere is a greater temperature variance between daily highs and lows. Climate changes. Decreased Ocean levels. Melting Ice Caps. etc.

The Good news is that this is a naturally slow process, the bad news is that we may be accelerating it unnaturally.
 
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Originally posted by Mr.E Man
... an overabundance of steamy water vapor ...

...the plant population is out of control...

In relation to what? Whose opinion?

Enter the solution. To solve the massive problem of mass producing plants, you need a massive plant eating machine, to keep the massive plant eating machines in check, you need massive plant eating machine eaters. Thus commeth the age of the Dinosaurs.

Did you mean to personify Nature or are you being poetic? Seems like a mixing of cause and effect. Species evolved to adapt to the environment...they were not placed there in order to solve a problem.


Over a period of a few million years the process continued with ever dwindling resources to sustain the Dinosaur population. As the plant eaters died out, so did the meat eaters.

How this this account for the K-T boundary? (thin layer of material found in geologic strate around the world suggesting an asteroid/comet impact above which no large dino fossils are found)

Have you ever watched a tail form behind a comet? The Earth is venting atmosphere much like the tail of a comet. This slow but inevitable process is caused by the decrease in gravitational "attraction" in the upper atmosphere and the solar winds constantly bombarding the planet. The end result of a thinning atmosphere is a greater temperature variance between daily highs and lows. Climate changes. Decreased Ocean levels. Melting Ice Caps. etc.

What? Nature isn't going to solve this too? :wink:
 
Preach it phobos

SOLAR WINDS ARE BLOWING THE ATMOSPHERE AWAY? That is new and also crazy. The Earth has had an atmosphere for most of its 4.55 Billion life and if it was going to be blown away, then it would have happened a long time ago.

Look on the bright side, If the Earth's atmosphere is blow away somehow, then the atmosphere of venus will probably be blown away too. Therefore Venus will probably be habitable without all the clouds trapping the heat.
 
Allah said:
Preach it phobos

SOLAR WINDS ARE BLOWING THE ATMOSPHERE AWAY? That is new and also crazy. The Earth has had an atmosphere for most of its 4.55 Billion life and if it was going to be blown away, then it would have happened a long time ago.

Look on the bright side, If the Earth's atmosphere is blow away somehow, then the atmosphere of venus will probably be blown away too. Therefore Venus will probably be habitable without all the clouds trapping the heat.
Actually, that's pretty much correct. It's a race between losing O2 from thermal agitation and the sun leaving the main sequence. Personally, I think that the sun's 10% per billion years rise in luminosity will trigger a runaway greenhouse effect about 2 billion years hence, and the Earth will enter a Venus-like stage until the Sun gobbles it five billion years from now.

Jerry Abbott
 
Nice post Eman, good descriptions. I had never thought of our planet giving off a vapor trail before, interesting. However I agree with the comments made by Phobos. Also the slowly changing environmental conditions of our planet couldn't have killed off the dinosaurs, over the course of those few million years that you mentioned the dinosaurs would have been evolving to adapt every step of the way.
 
These are just fantasies by people who have read some pop science but not enough to have the judgement to evaluate different scenarios. There is no, absolutely no evidence the sun is within millions of years of leaving the main sequence, lots of species survived from the Cretacious into the Tertiary, scientists can estimate the old atmospheric chemistry from the geochemistry of the rocks laid down then, and so on and so on. Dream on, guys if it satisfies you, but a more productive use of your time would be to learn some real science.
 
selfAdjoint said:
These are just fantasies by people who have read some pop science but not enough to have the judgement to evaluate different scenarios. There is no, absolutely no evidence the sun is within millions of years of leaving the main sequence, lots of species survived from the Cretacious into the Tertiary, scientists can estimate the old atmospheric chemistry from the geochemistry of the rocks laid down then, and so on and so on. Dream on, guys if it satisfies you, but a more productive use of your time would be to learn some real science.

The O2 and sun statements are well known star evolution. You got your decimal off by 1000. Go study astronomy.
 

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