1999 war games predicted problems with invasion of Iraq

1. Nov 5, 2006

edward

We had the correct information long before the war. The Bush administration choose to ignore it.

http://www.nbc6.net/news/10243429/detail.html#

2. Nov 5, 2006

Gokul43201

Staff Emeritus
3. Nov 5, 2006

Staff: Mentor

I finde the article somewhat confusing: it talks about the invasion requiring 400,000 troops, then says:
160,000 is most certainly not more than we had for the invasion, though I'm having trouble finding that number. (edit: near as I can tell, we had about 250,000, but I'm looking more reliable sources)

Regardless, they are mixing unrelated facts to support their conclusion. I'd like to read the actual report...

Last edited: Nov 5, 2006
4. Nov 5, 2006

Gokul43201

Staff Emeritus
Perhaps 160,000 was the post-invasion peak level? Here's Rummy's words:

http://usinfo.state.gov/usinfo/Archive/2005/Dec/23-44645.html

Hard to say what exactly he is refering to (and I suspect this is the source of this oft repeated number)...but I too recall a number like 250,000 troops for the invasion.

Last edited: Nov 5, 2006
5. Nov 5, 2006

Gokul43201

Staff Emeritus
6. Nov 5, 2006

Staff: Mentor

You'll have to be careful to distinguish the number of troops in Iraq, as apposed to the number of troops in theater, e.g. those in Kuwait and off-shore.

I've seen troop deployment numbers somewhere. There is usually a Defense Department summary montly or quarterly.

Here's something from 2004 - http://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/troops_04-15-04.html

7. Nov 5, 2006

edward

Apparently whatever number we had in the initial inasion was sufficient to topple the govenment of Iraq, but not enough to control the country.

GWU now has the documents. I doubt that they will be available on the net for a while.
http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/

or I could be wrong about that.
http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB207/index.htm

Last edited: Nov 5, 2006
8. Nov 5, 2006