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I found an Empirical model (finding the formula and integrating from one point to another)

I found a Finite Element model (either using simpson's rule or the trapezoidal rule)

But there seems to be another one called a Stochastic model or probability model.

My question is is there anyone that knows where to find this on the net or knows of it right off the back? I would like to know just the rule or steps and i will do the work myself... thanks