Probability of Number 4 Appearing in 100 Tosses? - ASK

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In summary, when a die is tossed 100 times, the expected frequency that the number 4 appears is 1/6 × 100, which results in a fraction of 16 2/3. There is no need to round it up or down, and the answer is not limited to being 16 or 17. An expected value is the long term average and does not have to be an attainable value.
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Monoxdifly
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A die is tossed 100 times. What's the expected frequency that the number appears will be 4?

The probability is 1/6, so the expected frequency is 1/6 × 100, but that results in a fraction (16 2/3). Do we need to round it up or down? Is the answer 16 or 17?
 
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Monoxdifly said:
A die is tossed 100 times. What's the expected frequency that the number appears will be 4?

The probability is 1/6, so the expected frequency is 1/6 × 100, but that results in a fraction (16 2/3). Do we need to round it up or down? Is the answer 16 or 17?

Why does it have to be 16 or 17? Just call it \(\displaystyle 16\dfrac{2}{3}\). There is no rule which says that expected value must be an attainable value (unless it is expressly stated at the start of the problem). Expected value is essentially the long term average. The analogy would be a math class where you get 85 on the first test and 86 on the second. Your average is 85.5 (which is usually a non-attainable score).
 
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Okay then, thanks.
 

1. What is the probability of getting exactly four 4s in 100 tosses?

The probability of getting exactly four 4s in 100 tosses is approximately 0.0023, or 0.23%. This can be calculated using the binomial probability formula, where n = 100 (number of trials), p = 1/6 (probability of getting a 4 on each toss), and k = 4 (desired number of successes).

2. What is the probability of getting at least one 4 in 100 tosses?

The probability of getting at least one 4 in 100 tosses is approximately 0.5175, or 51.75%. This can be calculated by subtracting the probability of getting zero 4s from 1. The probability of getting zero 4s can be calculated using the binomial probability formula with n = 100, p = 1/6, and k = 0.

3. How many 4s can we expect to see in 100 tosses?

We can expect to see approximately 16.67 4s in 100 tosses. This can be calculated by multiplying the number of tosses (100) by the probability of getting a 4 on each toss (1/6).

4. Is it possible to get more than four 4s in 100 tosses?

Yes, it is possible to get more than four 4s in 100 tosses. While the probability of getting exactly four 4s is low, there is still a chance of getting more than four 4s in 100 tosses. In fact, the probability of getting five or more 4s in 100 tosses is approximately 0.0005, or 0.05%.

5. How does the probability of getting a 4 in 100 tosses change if we increase the number of tosses?

The probability of getting a 4 in 100 tosses will increase as the number of tosses increases. This is because with more tosses, there are more opportunities for a 4 to appear. However, the probability will never reach 100%, as there is always a chance that a 4 will not appear in any given toss.

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