Probability of Keeper Fending Off Penalty Kicks 3/5 Times

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  • Thread starter Monoxdifly
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In summary, the probability of a professional goalkeeper being able to fend off 3 out of 5 penalty kicks is \frac{180}{625}.
  • #1
Monoxdifly
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A professional goalkeeper can fend off a penalty kick with the probability of \(\displaystyle \frac{3}{5}\). In an event a kick is done 5 times. The probability of that goalkeeper being able to fend off those penalty kicks 3 times is ...
A. \(\displaystyle \frac{180}{625}\)
B. \(\displaystyle \frac{612}{625}\)
C. \(\displaystyle \frac{216}{625}\)
D. \(\displaystyle \frac{228}{625}\)
E. \(\displaystyle \frac{230}{625}\)

Can someone give me a hint?
 
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  • #2
Monoxdifly said:
A professional goalkeeper can fend off a penalty kick with the probability of \(\displaystyle \frac{3}{5}\). In an event a kick is done 5 times. The probability of that goalkeeper being able to fend off those penalty kicks 3 times is ...
A. \(\displaystyle \frac{180}{625}\)
B. \(\displaystyle \frac{612}{625}\)
C. \(\displaystyle \frac{216}{625}\)
D. \(\displaystyle \frac{228}{625}\)
E. \(\displaystyle \frac{230}{625}\)

Can someone give me a hint?
Sometimes, if the distribution is small enough, it pays to calculate the entire Binomial Distribution and answer what may be a whole collection of questions.

1
1 1
1 2 1
1 3 3 1
1 4 6 4 1
1 5 10 10 5 1

0 Blocks: 1 (3/5)^0 (2/5)^5
1 Block: 5 (3/5)^1 (2/5)^4
2 Blocks:10 (3/5)^2 (2/5)^3
3 Blocks: 10 (3/5)^3 (2/5)^2
4 Blocks: 5 (3/5)^4 (2/5)^1
5 Blocks: 1 (3/5)^5 (2/5)^0

It's a pretty simple pattern to follow. Of course, if you wish, you can just calculate the desired value directly.
 
  • #3
Ah, I think I get it. Thanks.
 

1. What is the probability of a keeper fending off a penalty kick 3 out of 5 times?

The probability of a keeper successfully defending against a penalty kick is dependent on several factors such as the skill level of the keeper, the skill level of the penalty kicker, and the specific circumstances of the penalty kick. However, assuming all other factors are equal, the probability can be calculated using the formula (3/5)^3 = 0.216, which means there is approximately a 21.6% chance of the keeper succeeding in fending off the penalty kick 3 out of 5 times.

2. How is the probability calculated for this scenario?

The probability is calculated using a combination of statistical analysis and mathematical principles. The specific formula used will depend on the specific variables and factors at play in the scenario, but generally, it involves using the total number of possible outcomes and the number of desired outcomes to determine the probability.

3. What factors can influence the probability of a keeper fending off a penalty kick?

As mentioned earlier, there are several factors that can influence the probability of a keeper successfully defending against a penalty kick. Some of these factors include the skill level and experience of the keeper, the skill level and strategy of the penalty kicker, the distance and angle of the penalty kick, and the level of pressure and stress on both the keeper and the kicker.

4. Is the probability of a keeper fending off a penalty kick higher or lower if they have more experience?

Generally, the more experience a keeper has, the higher their probability of successfully defending against a penalty kick. This is because experience can improve a keeper's skill level, decision-making abilities, and confidence, all of which can positively impact their chances of success.

5. Are there any strategies that can increase the probability of a keeper fending off a penalty kick?

Yes, there are several strategies that keepers can use to increase their chances of successfully defending against a penalty kick. Some of these strategies include studying the tendencies and patterns of the penalty kicker, practicing different techniques for saving penalty kicks, and mentally preparing themselves for high-pressure situations.

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