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Convicting a Defendant

  1. Mar 7, 2008 #1
    [SOLVED] Convicting a Defendant

    The problem statement, all variables and given/known data
    Evidence concerning the guilt of a defendant in a criminal investigation can be summarized by the value of an exponential random variable X whose mean m depends on whether the defendant is guilty: If innocent, m = 1; if guilty, m = 2. The deciding judge will rule the defendant guilty if X > c for some c.

    (a) If the judge wants to be 95 % certain that an innocent man will not be convicted, what should the value of c be?

    (b) Using the value of c in (a), what is the probability that a guilty defendant is convicted?

    The attempt at a solution
    Concerning (a), is 95 % the probability that an innocent man will not be convicted? In other words, I have to find c such that P{X <= c} = 0.95 right and use m = 1 right?

    Concerning (b), all I need to do is find P{X > c} with the c value of (a) and m = 2 right?
  2. jcsd
  3. Mar 8, 2008 #2


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    Science Advisor

    Yes to both of your questions.
  4. Mar 8, 2008 #3
    Thanks. I always have trouble interpreting probability questions.
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