Does correlation affect the expectation value of a sum?

In summary, the expected value of the sum of two random variables X and Y can be calculated by summing the product of each variable with their respective probabilities, which can be simplified to the sum of each variable's expected value if X and Y are uncorrelated. However, this does not affect the calculation of the expected value using their joint distribution, as long as expectations exist for the distributions.
  • #1
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We have for two random variables X and Y (one sum runs over j and one over k):

E(X+Y) = ƩƩ(xj+yk)P(X=xk,Y=yk)
= ƩƩxjP(X=xk,Y=yk) + ƩƩykP(X=xk,Y=yk)

Now this can be simplified to obtain E(X+Y)=E(X)+E(Y) if we use that:
P(X=xk,Y=yk) = P(X=xk)P(Y=yk), because then (and same goes the other way around):
ƩjP(Y=yk)P(X=xj)= P(Y=yk)

But all this requires X and Y to be uncorrelated. Does the derivation above also hold if generally:

P(xj,yk)=P(xj l Y=yk)P(Y=yk)?
 
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  • #2
Which indexes are varying on each of your summation signs isn't clear.

I suggest you rewrite your question using the forums LaTex. (See https://www.physicsforums.com/showpost.php?p=3977517&postcount=3)

Calculating the expected value of the sum of two variables using their joint distribution does not depend on whether the two variables are independent or not. "Correlation" is also not relevant.
 
  • #3
Work with your original double sum - you should find the result of interest is true in each case (as long as expectations exist for your distributions)
 

1. What is the definition of expectation value of sum?

The expectation value of sum is a mathematical concept that is used to calculate the average value of a sum of random variables. It is also known as the expected value or mean, and is calculated by multiplying each possible value of the sum by its corresponding probability and summing them all together.

2. How is the expectation value of sum calculated?

To calculate the expectation value of sum, you need to know the possible values of the sum and their corresponding probabilities. Then, you multiply each possible value by its probability and sum them all together. This can be represented by the formula: E[X+Y] = ∑(x+y)*P(x,y), where X and Y are random variables and P(x,y) is the joint probability distribution function.

3. What is the significance of expectation value of sum in statistics?

The expectation value of sum is an important concept in statistics because it helps to describe the central tendency of a set of data. It represents the average value of a sum of random variables, which can be used to make predictions and draw conclusions about a population.

4. How is the expectation value of sum used in real-life applications?

The concept of expectation value of sum is used in various real-life applications such as finance, engineering, and economics. For example, in finance, it is used to calculate the expected return of a portfolio of investments. In engineering, it is used to determine the reliability of a system. In economics, it is used to calculate the expected value of a business decision.

5. Can the expectation value of sum be negative?

Yes, the expectation value of sum can be negative. This means that the sum of random variables has a higher probability of resulting in a negative value than a positive value. However, it is also possible for the expectation value of sum to be positive or zero, depending on the values and probabilities of the random variables involved.

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