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Flipping a coin, length of runs

  1. Dec 4, 2011 #1
    1. The problem statement, all variables and given/known data

    We flip a biased coin (the probability of a head is p, the probability of a tail is q=1-p). Denote X and Y the length of the first and the second run. A "run" is a maximal sequence of consecutive flips that are all the same. For example, if the sequence is HHHTHH... , then X=4, Y=1, if the sequence is THHTHTH..., then X=1, Y=2. Find the followings: E(X), E(Y), E(X^2), E(Y^2), Var(X), Var(Y), Cov(X, Y).

    2. Relevant equations



    3. The attempt at a solution

    I am quite unsure, but I think we should use conditional expeted value conditioning with the result of the first toss. I suppose that to calculate Cov(X, Y) we should use the law of total covariance.

    I would be really grateful if you could help me!
     
    Last edited: Dec 4, 2011
  2. jcsd
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