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How long to take baghdad?

  1. Apr 4, 2003 #1
    How long do you think it will take us to take baghdad (us I mean the coalittion. Do you think the republican gaurd will offer much fight?
     
  2. jcsd
  3. Apr 4, 2003 #2
    I would go for about three weeks. In the previous three weeks, things have gone well for the 'Coalition', now they have their hardest part.
    In three weeks time I will look back to see how wrong I was.
     
  4. Apr 4, 2003 #3
    I think the republican gaurd will put up quite a fight. I feel that saddams airport will be an important capture.
     
  5. Apr 4, 2003 #4
    What's kinda freaky is that Saddam is now saying that victory is nearer thatn ever (for his regime)
     
  6. Apr 4, 2003 #5
    Im not siding with him but I suppose he has to say something to keep his remaining troops moral up.

    But is he dead?
     
  7. Apr 4, 2003 #6

    russ_watters

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    Staff: Mentor

    Initially I had said this whole war would take two weeks (oops). Toward the end of week two, I said two more - so I'll go with one more week now. The army and marine corps have sliced through the few republican guard divisions they have faced like a hot knife through butter.
     
  8. Apr 4, 2003 #7
    I hope the Republican Guard turns out to be all smoke and bluster when compared with superior coalition forces. Within two weeks, Baghdad should be under coalition control even though sporadic fighting might continue. There is now no doubt that the war has been won.
     
  9. Apr 4, 2003 #8

    drag

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    Science Advisor

    Greetings !

    It is extremely difficult to estimate this.
    First of all, because we have little data
    avalible to us and because we are not military
    stratagists... :wink:

    Further more, the ease of the coalition's advance
    is somewhat "fishy". It is possible that seeing
    they have no real chances many forces were pulled
    back to defend Baghdad itself. It is also possible
    that the regime is falling apart and will soon
    disappear all by itself - where are the hundreds
    of phousands of soldiers if there are 10,000 PoWs
    and hardly so little forces seemingly left.
    It is also possible that Saddam will use WMDs,
    in which case the war probably won't be slowed
    down but many civilians will die.

    In short, I have no idea...:wink:

    Live long and prosper.
     
  10. Apr 4, 2003 #9
    The Republican Guard is putting up virtually no fight, to the point where I'm half-worried. Where the heck are they? Apparently I'm not the only one:
    http://www.nytimes.com/2003/04/04/i...nted=1&ei=1&en=29ff3e54b0cd4a63&ex=1050433911

    I'm guessing 2 weeks - 2 months to take Baghdad, depending on how they go about it. Maybe a month past that for the rest of the war, assuming all goes well.
     
  11. Apr 5, 2003 #10
    Good post, they just seem to have dissapeared
     
  12. Apr 5, 2003 #11
    Duhh !

    I wonder how did you judge that War will end in two weeks or less ... this is not afghanistan , this is iraq ... and remember Iraqies make their weapons by their own , so they can make more weapons in order to face the allies forces .

    Baghdad is the city that cannot be entered this easy , if would take very long time to enter Baghdad .


    I Have something to tell , If the war didn't end in two weeks , allies forves might end up loosing forves because of the heat and sand there , Our area is a very hot one ... Your troops might not bear it.
     
  13. Apr 5, 2003 #12
    Re: Duhh !

    We've been driving in and out of Baghdad for the last 24 hours at will.
     
  14. Apr 6, 2003 #13
    Im not sure what youve been told in America but in England at the time of posting they say that there are coallition troops walking around baghdad!!
     
  15. Apr 6, 2003 #14
    The "we can move around Baghdad at will" line isn't really IMO accurate... we do have the airport, and made one lightning raid through the city. It's not like troops are just driving downtown and hanging out... there are enough defensive forces in the city that they'd get massacred. A BBC correspondent there referred to the raid (somewhat tactlessly) as the "world's biggest drive-by shooting" which is sorta accurate.

    Not to downplay the raid though... it was damn impressive, they just ran straight down the highway, through heavy fire at 30-40 kph, blowing the **** out of every target in sight. Look at http://www.gomemphis.com/mca/america_at_war/article/0,1426,MCA_945_1868008,00.html .
     
  16. Apr 6, 2003 #15
    Aparetnly this morning they killed a thousand Iraqis, can you imagine it. Another thing in ww1 we lost 40.00 a day at the somme. We lose 1,2,3 a day in Iraq pandermonium.
    Funny
     
  17. Apr 6, 2003 #16
    Re: Duhh !

    Like Alias said.

    By the way, I believe the severe temperature would cause more problems for equipment than the troops.
     
  18. Apr 6, 2003 #17
    I think the lack of effective opposition to the advancement of the invading army ought to make people think twice about all the pro-war hype they were/are fed...or not, haha
     
  19. Apr 6, 2003 #18

    kat

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    I think the issue with the heat is also that it's impossible to wear the chem suits once it reaches a certain tempature, which is why the rush to start before the mid april heat waves.


    Boulder-my suspicion is that it's a mixture of hype and Saddam's own hands on mismanagement. There were firsthand reports of how Saddam enforced loyalty by it's top officers by planting camera's within their homes, tapped their phones and took movies of their daughters being raped and then used them to threaten humiliation to the families. I would think this wouldn't make for very loyal troops.
     
  20. Apr 7, 2003 #19
    Ian says it will all be over soon. Ian is the keeper of all knowlege and buddha in his spare time
     
  21. Apr 7, 2003 #20
    Yeah we killed them all on the run in to Baghdad.

    Not long now folks - Saddam's time is nearly up. The people of Baghdad will soon be celebrating like the people of Basra.
     
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