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How many citations to Reuter before yearend?

  1. 1 (which they have, so no additional citations)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  2. 2

    16.7%
  3. 3

    16.7%
  4. 4

    33.3%
  5. 5

    16.7%
  6. 6

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  7. 7 or more

    16.7%
  1. Sep 19, 2005 #1

    marcus

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    Kea and I were talking about the latest paper by Reuter and Lauscher, which showed fractal-like spacetime structure at very small scale.

    http://www.arxiv.org/abs/hep-th/0508202
    Fractal Spacetime Structure in Asymptotically Safe Gravity
    O. Lauscher, M. Reuter

    It came out a few days ago and already has one citation. How many do you guess it will have by 31 December?

     
  2. jcsd
  3. Sep 20, 2005 #2

    marcus

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    Keaaaahhh!

    :smile:

    thanks. that was quick. now we have two guesses

    selfAdjoint said "2 or 3" citations was what he expect. have to see which one he picks as his final choice.
     
  4. Sep 20, 2005 #3

    selfAdjoint

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    Happy now? I went way out on a limb, considering the time frame. You can't just write up a paper on a weekend.
     
  5. Sep 20, 2005 #4

    marcus

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    Happy :smile:

    actually the timeframe worries me too. it is hard to imagine anybody writing another paper and posting it in the remaining two months after the conference, when it has to do with anything as weird as microscopic fractal structure of spacetime
     
  6. Sep 20, 2005 #5

    selfAdjoint

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    I talked myself into it by imagining competing groups of multiple authors, each with a killer insight, and a lot of cutting and pasting. And I assumed the Distler coup d'etat wouldn't get in the way.
     
  7. Sep 22, 2005 #6

    marcus

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    After thinking about your reasons and reviewing the situation, I suspect that given the chance I would change my guess to 2. But the rules are you cant change.

    Overall I think we have already a fine bunch of predictions! Kea's extravagantly optimistic "7 up" guess puts everyone at their ease, like a gracious hostess at a party. (thinks: after that nothing I say would sound unreasonable.)

    To summarize: how many citations will Lauscher/Reuter "Fractal Spacetime Structure" have by year-end?

    selfAdjoint predicts 3
    Alamino and I predict 4
    Spin Network predicts 5
    Kea says 7 or more because she likes their work

    We check, to find out the winner, any time after 31 December 2005 at either of these addresses:
    http://citebase.eprints.org/cgi-bin/citations?id=oai:arXiv.org:hep-th/0508202

    http://www.arxiv.org/cits/hep-th/0508202
     
    Last edited: Sep 22, 2005
  8. Sep 23, 2005 #7

    marcus

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    Ohwilleke has contributed his forecast. Here is how things stand:

    How many citations will Lauscher/Reuter "Fractal Spacetime Structure" have by year-end?

    Ohwilleke predicts 2
    selfAdjoint predicts 3
    Alamino and I predict 4
    Spin Network predicts 5
    Kea says 7 or more because she likes their work

    We check, to find out the winner, any time after 31 December 2005 at either of these addresses:
    http://citebase.eprints.org/cgi-bin/citations?id=oai:arXiv.org:hep-th/0508202

    http://www.arxiv.org/cits/hep-th/0508202

    =======================

    Only two people have registered guesses on the other forecast poll that is open!

    https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=90199

    How many UK downloads before year-end of the Ashtekar-Bojowald "hole-bang" paper? it is a landmark paper: venturing into new territory---but the title is comparatively unevocative. I am curious to know what people guess about the extent it will be read. I have guessed 60-79 UK downloads.
     
    Last edited: Sep 23, 2005
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