Is Time Running Out?

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Can we afford to curb our use of global resources? Can we afford not to?
 

chroot

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Originally posted by Greg Bernhardt
Can we afford to curb our use of global resources? Can we afford not to?
Does not the mountain need the snow?
Does not the desert need the sun?
Does not your scrotum need kicking?

- Warren
 
Good point. I'm the kind of person who believes that we have to drastically reduce our resource consuption no matter what the price. I worry about the environmental impact that we're having and the long term effets this is going to have on the balance of nature. Some people say that it would be too costly, but think about the economic impact when/if we start to run out or fossil fuels.
 
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Is this another Antropogenic Global Warming thread with emission control as the great solution? :wink:
 

selfAdjoint

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Sounded more like population explosion/resouces running out to me. In 1919 it was predicted that if the then current rate of rise in telephone usage continued for 100 years, the world would run out of copper.
 

russ_watters

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In elementary school I learned we'd run out of oil in roughly 20 years. So we'd better do something soon, we only have 3 years left! :wink:
 
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Right, when I was very young, horses were a common sight on the streets. It was predicted that if horse stacks would continue to grow, the global temperature would rise a couple of degrees due to the warmth of the massive heaps of dung on the street, which were also emitting vast amounts of methane gas, a powerfull greenhouse gas.
 

magick323

Copper? 3 years left? Horses? Upon reading all of your posts, it appears humans have created/discovered new technologies from time to time.

I do think that humans are 'eating' this planet alive in every way due to overpopulation though.
Has anyone read Daniel Quinn's theory regarding food production/population?
 

Njorl

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Resources don't run out. They become scarce and expensive. At that point it becomes economical to develop alternatives. Unfortunately, it also becomes more economical to fight wars over them. There are limits. A terrestrial civilization can not use more energy than is incident on the planet for very long. At current rates of increase, we'll hit that point in 300-500 years. Hopefully, we'll learn to deal with it by then.

BTW, those doomsayers about oil consumption were just about right. Oil consumption had been doubling every 10 years. While we are still increasing our oil consumption, doubling time is roughly 30 years now. If it had gone on at the faster rate, we would have probably exhausted all known reserves that could be extracted for less than $50 per barrel. That's the problem with being a doomsayer. If your good at it, people change their ways and make you look bad.

Njorl
 
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Yes Daniel Quinn has some valid ideas:

http://webseitz.fluxent.com/wiki/DanielQuinn

However if we need to grow food for all people, we need more carbon, since that is where living stuff is made off. We also need good high temperatures to grow crops fast. Would anybody have an idea how we could accomplish that? :wink:
 

magick323

Originally posted by Andre
Yes Daniel Quinn has some valid ideas:

http://webseitz.fluxent.com/wiki/DanielQuinn

However if we need to grow food for all people, we need more carbon, since that is where living stuff is made off. We also need good high temperatures to grow crops fast. Would anybody have an idea how we could accomplish that? :wink:

I think this is a trick question ;)
Good. I'm here to learn.

Also, Quinn's theories about limiting/slowing food production make sense to limit population growth...but how is that accomplished?
 

magick323

Originally posted by Njorl That's the problem with being a doomsayer. If your good at it, people change their ways and make you look bad.
Njorl

Maybe we need more doomsayers.

I do not believe we could continue to live this way for much longer. Civilization needs to begin co-existing more with other life on earth.
I can't say I am exactly 'green' but natural settings are becoming sparse in NYC where I'm from. Glass, steel, cement, truck and car exhaust fumes.
I imagine technologies are available to assist/change civilizations direction (downward spiral), but will they be welcomed?

In my opinion the doomsayer is important. Thank you for laying it out so plainly.




:smile:
 

magick323

Originally posted by Andre
Is this another Antropogenic Global Warming thread with emission control as the great solution? :wink:
Instead of emissions 'control'...why not rethink industry?
I've also read that global warming is cyclical - but humans have had an effect too.
So if the brilliant minds of the world conspire with McWorld to create or release new technologies as well as increase profits, the earth (our home) benefits no?
 
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Magick

You seem to have some good ideas. The problem is, do we know the problem? I think we do not
 
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anybody ever heard of the word Malthusian Limit? i think humans are a very adaptable species and can change lifestyles dramatically if a true crisis is felt. doomsdayers who give early warnings about probable future risks based on rational extrapolation of current trends are welcome. unfortunately not all are like that. i feel energy, food and water need special attention when conservation is concerned. and of course biodiversities need protection too.
 

Njorl

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I was actually thinking about Malthus when I posted. I was just reading about Malthus and Ricardo. Malthus was probably closer to the truth in his ideas, but Ricardo was just so eloquent that he always out-argued Malthus. I think the only problem with Malthus' writings is that he did not have the benefit of observing hundreds of years of capitalism in action. Condemning Malthus as wrong is like condemning Newton for not seeing the relativistic limitations of mechanics.

Njorl
 

FZ+

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Originally posted by Andre

However if we need to grow food for all people, we need more carbon, since that is where living stuff is made off. We also need good high temperatures to grow crops fast. Would anybody have an idea how we could accomplish that? :wink:
Except, that's wrong. The hot summer recently has led to widespread crop damage with some countries losing as much as 60% of their wheat yield this year. Look up the Ukraine argicultural figures for 2003. In fact, all recent studies factoring in a combination of both factors have resulted in a dieback stage when temperature continues to rise.
 

magick323

Originally posted by Andre
Magick

You seem to have some good ideas. The problem is, do we know the problem? I think we do not
Maybe one problem is nearly 6.4 billion people and counting?
 
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Originally posted by FZ+
Except, that's wrong. The hot summer recently has led to widespread crop damage with some countries losing as much as 60% of their wheat yield this year.
OK I was just toying with ideas. But now the opposite. Suppose that the Antropogenic Global Warming is really that strong (which is not), and we can´t wait to get the CO2 level back to the 200ppm region, Now there are two effects.

Earth cools to a new ice age that allegedly is due already and crops don´t grow either both due to cold conditions but also due to little carbon dioxide available.

So, that is what we could call the law of maintaining misery.

I don´t know about hot dry summers elsewhere but both the cold winter and the hot dry summer in Europe were caused by an extreme stubborn blocking high pressure area that remained in place for ages. At the same time the North Atlantic south-west or Ireland had unusual low sea surface temperatures for about the same period. There is a idea that this would have prevented the stream of Azores low pressure areas to form that usually moderate the weather in Europe
 
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Originally posted by magick323
Maybe one problem is nearly 6.4 billion people and counting?
Right, So who are you going to send away from Earth?
 
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Njorl, Sage

Thanx for the tip. Got something to read here http://dspace.dial.pipex.com/town/terrace/adw03/peel/social/prindex.htm

http://dspace.dial.pipex.com/town/terrace/adw03/c-eight/people/ricardo.htm

The problem that both gentlemen may not have considered, is the dynamics of Earth climates. One cannnot assume a steady state. The Sahara and the Saoudi peninsula desert were moist and fertile landscapes, several thousends of years ago. The barren north Siberian Tundra was a Mammoth steppe, hosting numerous big mammals 10,000 years ago. Wrangel island North of East Siberia was warm enough to host Mammoths no less than 4000 years ago. Nobody blamed mankind for the big changes and the big changes will continue whether or not people on Earth who think that they are to blame for ruining climates.
 
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russ_watters

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Originally posted by magick323
Instead of emissions 'control'...why not rethink industry?
Sounds simple enough, lets get started. You replace our electric power generation capacity and I'll replace our cars. I'll let you when I'm finished.
Maybe one problem is nearly 6.4 billion people and counting?
Well that one at least is a piece of cake - I have access to the US's nuclear launch codes. I can drastically fix that number in about 45 mintues. Ehhh, ya know what, I need to go hit some golf balls. Maybe I'll do it later.

I see this all the time. Its a disease where people find problems and propose self-evident non-solutions to them. I call it "hippieism." Hippieism is counter-productive because it takes energy and emphasis away from people trying to find REAL SOLUTIONS to these problems.
 
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magick323

Originally posted by Andre
Right, So who are you going to send away from Earth?
Totalitarian agricultural people, maybe? :smile:
 

magick323

Originally posted by russ_watters
Sounds simple enough, lets get started. You replace our electric power generation capacity and I'll replace our cars. I'll let you when I'm finished. Well that one at least is a piece of cake - I have access to the US's nuclear launch codes. I can drastically fix that number in about 45 mintues. Ehhh, ya know what, I need to go hit some golf balls. Maybe I'll do it later.

I see this all the time. Its a disease where people find problems and propose self-evident non-solutions to them. I call it "hippieism." Hippieism is counter-productive because it takes energy and emphasis away from people trying to find REAL SOLUTIONS to these problems.
I am certainly not here to argue with anyone and I am certainly not advocating genocide or hippieism. lol

The earth can support many different ways to live. Modern civilization has a chance to rethink the way we are living.
Limiting/slowing food production is quite possibly a way to achieve co-existence with all life.
Should we begin at 9 billion people? 50 billion people? ... where is critical mass?

I am here to learn about real solutions. I was hoping some people here had a few or even one brilliant idea.
 

magick323

Originally posted by Greg Bernhardt
Can we afford to curb our use of global resources? Can we afford not to?
I wanted to go back to the beginning again for a minute.
What does this question mean exactly? "Afford" as in financial, (economic) or to avoid destroying 200 species per day?
Some might say our own species is in danger.

Perhaps if I lived in a more natural setting my perception would be different.
But I see a sickness in our major cities and industrial zones.
The sickness is not limited to paving the earth either.
The people themselves are sick, diseased in mind and body - living longer by way of pharmacueticals and modern medicine.

Sorry to ramble, just wondering what the question is really asking.
-mitch (nyc)




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