How can population growth be modeled using a simple equation?

In summary, the conversation discusses a model for the growth of a population, where p_n represents the number of individuals in the population at the end of n years. Initially, the population consists of 1000 individuals and each year it increases by 20%, while 100 individuals leave the population on December 31st. The summary also includes the calculation of p_1 and p_2, as well as the equation connecting p_{n+1} and p_n, which is p_{n+1} = (1.2 * p_n) - 100.
  • #1
rock.freak667
Homework Helper
6,223
31

Homework Statement


In a model for the growth of a population,[itex]p_n[/itex] is the number of individuals in the population at the end of n years. Initially, the population consists of 1000 individuals.

In each year, the population increases by 20% and on Dec.31st, 100 individuals leave the population.

a)Calculate [itex]p_1 \ and \ p_2[/itex]
b)Write down an equation connecting [itex]p_{n+1} \ and \ p_n[/itex]

Homework Equations



None

The Attempt at a Solution



Well at the initial time. p=1000

so at the end of the first year it would just be 1000-100
so that [itex]p_1=900[/itex]

At the start of the next year the new population size is [itex]\frac{120}{100}*900=1080[/itex]
so then simply [itex]p_2=1080-100=980[/itex]

are these values correct?
If my answers are correct, then for part b) should it just simply be
[tex]p_{n+1}=(1.2*p_n)-100[/tex]
 
Physics news on Phys.org
  • #2
I think you want to grow the population by 20% first, then subtract 100. As you wrote in b), but didn't do in a).
 
  • #3
But in part a) doesn't initially mean that it is at the start of the calendar year and the population growth should be valid for the year after?
 
  • #4
I would say Dec 31 is at the end of the year, so you would start with 1000 on Jan 1 of the first year. I was just trying to make b) applicable to p0=1000. It's roughly the same problem either way, in one case you start with 1000 on Dec 31, in the other with 1000 on Jan 1.
 
  • #5
so then the formula for P_n and P_n+1 is correct?
 
  • #6
Yes, it is.
 

1. What is a model for population growth?

A model for population growth is a mathematical representation of how a population changes over time. It takes into account factors such as birth rate, death rate, immigration, and emigration to predict how a population will grow or decline.

2. How is a model for population growth useful?

A model for population growth can help scientists and policymakers understand and predict changes in population size. It can also be used to study the effects of different factors, such as resource availability or disease, on population growth.

3. What are some limitations of a model for population growth?

One limitation of a model for population growth is that it is based on assumptions and simplifications, and may not accurately reflect real-world complexities. Additionally, unexpected events or changes in environmental conditions can significantly impact population growth and may not be accounted for in the model.

4. How is a model for population growth developed?

A model for population growth is typically developed by analyzing data on population size, birth and death rates, and other relevant factors. Scientists may also use computer simulations to test different scenarios and refine the model.

5. Can a model for population growth be used to predict the future?

While a model for population growth can provide valuable insights and predictions, it is not a crystal ball and cannot account for all possible variables. Changes in the environment, unforeseen events, and other factors can impact population growth in ways that are difficult to predict. Therefore, the accuracy of future predictions from a population growth model should be interpreted with caution.

Similar threads

  • Precalculus Mathematics Homework Help
Replies
5
Views
2K
  • Precalculus Mathematics Homework Help
Replies
6
Views
2K
  • Introductory Physics Homework Help
Replies
1
Views
1K
  • Precalculus Mathematics Homework Help
Replies
6
Views
2K
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
13
Views
2K
  • Precalculus Mathematics Homework Help
Replies
1
Views
1K
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
5
Views
1K
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
10
Views
5K
  • Precalculus Mathematics Homework Help
Replies
4
Views
1K
Replies
6
Views
927
Back
Top