If two events 1 and 2 have probability 0.81 and 0.82 And another two events, 3 and 4 have probability 0.01 and 0.02 Would it be correct to say that (event 4 will occur more often than event 3), compared with (event 2 more likely to occur than even 1)? The comparison is 'the more likely'. To repharase the question. Is the (likliness of event 4 over event 3) greater than the likliness of (event 2 over event 1)? I hope this question makes sense.