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More likely?

  1. Oct 25, 2006 #1
    If two events 1 and 2 have probability 0.81 and 0.82

    And another two events, 3 and 4 have probability 0.01 and 0.02

    Would it be correct to say that (event 4 will occur more often than event 3), compared with (event 2 more likely to occur than even 1)?

    The comparison is 'the more likely'. To repharase the question. Is the (likliness of event 4 over event 3) greater than the likliness of (event 2 over event 1)?

    I hope this question makes sense.
     
    Last edited: Oct 25, 2006
  2. jcsd
  3. Oct 25, 2006 #2
    Yes, you are definitely correct.

    Event 4 has exactly twice the probability of Event 3.
    Event 2 has almost the same probability as Event 1.

    Event 4 over Event 3 = 2/1
    Event 2 over Event 1 = 82/81

    Hope that helps.

    Simon
     
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2006
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