I'm trying to find out where I'm going to be next semester. Of course these original percentages are arbitrary but I don't know how to finish the equation.(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});

getting into UNC is a 50% shot

getting into USC is a 95% shot

staying at SMU = 100%

a.There's a 50% chance I'll get this tour guide job

*on a scale of 1-10: 3 on importance scale

b.There's a 50% chance I'll have a cool room mate next semester

*3 on importance scale

c.There's a 30% chance I can acquire a desirable girlfriend by the end of this semester

*5

d.There's a 87% chance I'll find a fraternity I want to join and be guaranteed a bid by the end of this semester

*6

e.There's a 80% chance I'll have the grades to enter the business school

*8

Assuming that I don't get into UNC

statement y:

if a,b,c,d,e are true then my chances of going to USC are 20%

statement z:

if a,b,c,d,e are false then my chance of going to USC are 80%

So what is the percentage chance that I'll be going to USC next year?

Thank you so much

I know that the chance of a,b,c,d,e all being true is around 5.2% but how do i factor that into the 60% variance of the statements y and z?

**Physics Forums | Science Articles, Homework Help, Discussion**

Join Physics Forums Today!

The friendliest, high quality science and math community on the planet! Everyone who loves science is here!

The friendliest, high quality science and math community on the planet! Everyone who loves science is here!

# My life in Percentages

Can you offer guidance or do you also need help?

Draft saved
Draft deleted

**Physics Forums | Science Articles, Homework Help, Discussion**