How to Calculate the Probability of Extreme Weights in Production?

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In summary: P(X<14) + P(X<10) Using the z-score formula, we can calculate the probabilities:P(X<14) = P(Z< (14-12)/2) = P(Z<1) = 0.8413P(X<10) = P(Z< (10-12)/2) = P(Z<-1) = 0.1587Therefore,P(X>14 or X<10) = 1 - 0.8413 + 0.1587 = 0.3174In summary, the probability that a randomly selected item has a weight that is greater than 14 ounces or smaller than 10 ounces is 0.317
  • #1
619snake
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Homework Statement


the weight of items produced by a production line is normally distributedwith a mean of 12 ounces and a standard deviation of 2 ounces.
a. what is the probability that a randomly selected item will weight between 8 and 16 ounces? (DONE)
b. what is the probability that a randomly selected item will weight over 20 ounces? (DONE)
c. Suppose that quality control requires the weight of items to be within 8 and 16 ounces. You select 7 items at random (each item is independent). What is the probability that 3 of the items will fulfill quality control requirements. (DONE BUT HAVE DOUBTS)
d. find the probability that a randomly selected item has a weight that is greater than 14 or smaller than 10. (STUCK IN THIS ONE)

2. Related formulas
if x is BIN
p(x=k) = (n!)/((n-k)!(k!)) * [tex]\pi[/tex]^k * (1-[tex]\pi[/tex])^(n-k)
mean = n[tex]\pi[/tex]
variance = n[tex]\pi[/tex](1-[tex]\pi[/tex])

if x is N(µ,[tex]\sigma[/tex]), then z=(x-µ)/([tex]\sigma[/tex]) is N(0,1)

The Attempt at a Solution


a. x~n (µ=12, [tex]\sigma[/tex]=2)
p(8<x<16)
p(x<16) - p(x<8)
z=(16-12)/2 z=(8-12)/2
z=2 z= -2
p(z<2)-p(z<-2)
=.9772-.0228
=.9544

b.P(x>20)
z=(20-12)/2
z=4
p(z>4)= 1

c.x~binomial (µ=7, [tex]\sigma[/tex]=.95)
p(x=3)
p(x=K)=[tex](3!)/(3!)(7-3)![/tex](.95)^3 (1-.95)^4
.
.
.
x=0.000187551

d. I have no idea how to deal with this one
I think I have to use the mean and standard deviation of the problem
(µ=12, [tex]\sigma[/tex]=2)
P(x<10) or P(x>14)
Hope you people can help me
 
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  • #2
619snake said:

Homework Statement


the weight of items produced by a production line is normally distributedwith a mean of 12 ounces and a standard deviation of 2 ounces.
a. what is the probability that a randomly selected item will weight between 8 and 16 ounces? (DONE)
b. what is the probability that a randomly selected item will weight over 20 ounces? (DONE)
c. Suppose that quality control requires the weight of items to be within 8 and 16 ounces. You select 7 items at random (each item is independent). What is the probability that 3 of the items will fulfill quality control requirements. (DONE BUT HAVE DOUBTS)
d. find the probability that a randomly selected item has a weight that is greater than 14 or smaller than 10. (STUCK IN THIS ONE)

2. Related formulas
if x is BIN
p(x=k) = (n!)/((n-k)!(k!)) * [tex]\pi[/tex]^k * (1-[tex]\pi[/tex])^(n-k)
mean = n[tex]\pi[/tex]
variance = n[tex]\pi[/tex](1-[tex]\pi[/tex])

if x is N(µ,[tex]\sigma[/tex]), then z=(x-µ)/([tex]\sigma[/tex]) is N(0,1)

The Attempt at a Solution


a. x~n (µ=12, [tex]\sigma[/tex]=2)
p(8<x<16)
p(x<16) - p(x<8)
z=(16-12)/2 z=(8-12)/2
z=2 z= -2
p(z<2)-p(z<-2)
=.9772-.0228
=.9544

b.P(x>20)
z=(20-12)/2
z=4
p(z>4)= 1

c.x~binomial (µ=7, [tex]\sigma[/tex]=.95)
p(x=3)
p(x=K)=[tex](3!)/(3!)(7-3)![/tex](.95)^3 (1-.95)^4
.
.
.
x=0.000187551

d. I have no idea how to deal with this one
I think I have to use the mean and standard deviation of the problem
(µ=12, [tex]\sigma[/tex]=2)
P(x<10) or P(x>14)
Hope you people can help me

The events X>14 and X<10 are mutually exclusive (cannot occur at the same time) so that their probabilities are additive:

P(X>14 or X<10) = P(X>14) + P(X<10)
 

1. What is statistics?

Statistics is the study of collecting, organizing, analyzing, and interpreting numerical data. It involves using various mathematical and computational methods to make sense of data and draw conclusions or make predictions.

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3. What are some common statistical methods?

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