Normally distrbution with Probability

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In summary, you have correctly calculated the probability of waiting longer than 8 minutes, the length of the waiting time at the 99th percentile, and the conditional probability of waiting longer than 6 minutes given that it lasted longer than 5 minutes.
  • #1
Askhwhelp
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Assume the length of waiting at supermarket is approximately normally distributed with mean 6 minutes and standard deviation 1.5 minutes.
(1) Fund the probability that waiting time is longer than 8 minutes
My way is P(z > (8-6)/1.5) = P(z > 4/3) = .0918
(2) What length of the waiting time constitutes the 99th percentile ($Φ_.99$)?
My way is
For 99th percentile, find p(z > 2.327) = .01
find (y-6)/1.5 = 2.237 <=> y = 9.4905. For 0th percentile, y should be negative infinity. However, it does not make sense since we talk about time here. We should take 0 instead.
The waiting time length is between 0 and 9.4905
(3) Find probability that waiting time lasted longer than 6 minutes given that it lasted longer than 5 minutes
My way is P(Y>6|Y>5) = P(Y>6,Y>5)/P(Y>5) = P(Y>6)/P(Y>5) = P(z > (6-6)/1.5)/P(z > (5-6)/1.5) = P(z > 0) = P(z > -2/3) = .5/(1-.2514)=.67.

Could anyone please check (1), (2), (3) for me?
 
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  • #2


Yes, your calculations for (1), (2), and (3) are correct. Your method for finding the 99th percentile is also correct, but you could also use a z-score table to find the z-score corresponding to the 99th percentile, which is 2.3263. Then, you could plug this z-score into the formula (y-6)/1.5 = z to solve for y, which would give you the same result of 9.49 minutes.
 

1. What is a normally distributed probability?

A normally distributed probability, also known as a Gaussian distribution, is a statistical distribution that is commonly seen in various natural phenomena such as human height, IQ scores, and blood pressure. It follows a bell-shaped curve and is symmetrical around the mean.

2. How is a normally distributed probability calculated?

A normally distributed probability is calculated using the formula:

P(x) = 1/(σ√2π) * e^(-(x-μ)^2/2σ^2)

Where μ is the mean, σ is the standard deviation, and e is the base of the natural logarithm.

3. What is the importance of a normally distributed probability?

A normally distributed probability is important because many natural phenomena and real-world data can be approximated using this distribution. It allows for easier analysis and prediction of outcomes, making it a useful tool in various fields such as economics, psychology, and biology.

4. What are some characteristics of a normally distributed probability?

Some characteristics of a normally distributed probability include:
- The mean, median, and mode are all equal
- The curve is symmetrical
- 68% of the data falls within one standard deviation from the mean
- 95% of the data falls within two standard deviations from the mean
- 99.7% of the data falls within three standard deviations from the mean

5. Can a probability distribution be perfectly normal?

No, it is impossible for a probability distribution to be perfectly normal. In reality, there will always be some variability and outliers in the data. However, a distribution can be close enough to the normal distribution to be considered a good approximation.

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