News Presidential Election Game

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Gokul43201

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Going into the weekend before the elections, here's a game for everyone!

RULES:

1. Enter R (for McCain-Palin), D (for Obama-Biden), or X (for other) in the spaces provided beside the states, to submit your predictions of who will win which state in the 2008 Presidential Election. You may also leave some states blank, if you do not wish to make a guess for that state.

2. You get 1 point for every correct prediction, -1 for every incorrect prediction, and 0 for every blank.

3. You must also answer the Bonus question, which will be used only to break a tie, if two or more players end up with the same final score. See the example provided in the next post for an acceptable answer format for the bonus question.

4. The winner will be dubbed the Electoral Geek of 2008. :biggrin:


DEADLINE:

Entries submitted after midnight (Eastern Standard Time, US) on the night of Monday, Nov 3 will not be eligible for the game. This is a little over 2.5 days from now, and will be Tuesday morning/afternoon for most parts of Europe/Africa/Asia. I will post reminders as we get closer to the submission deadline.


FANTASY TABLE:

Code:
    * Alabama                - 
    * Alaska                 - 
    * Arizona                -
    * Arkansas               -
    * California             -
    * Colorado               -
    * Connecticut            -
    * Delaware               -
    * District of Columbia   -
    * Florida                -
    * Georgia                -
    * Hawaii                 -
    * Idaho                  -
    * Illinois               -
    * Indiana                -
    * Iowa                   -
    * Kansas                 -
    * Kentucky               -
    * Louisiana              -
    * Maine                  -
    * Maryland               -
    * Massachusetts          -
    * Michigan               -
    * Minnesota              -
    * Mississippi            -
    * Missouri               -
    * Montana                -
    * Nebraska               -
    * Nevada                 -
    * New Hampshire          -
    * New Jersey             -
    * New Mexico             -
    * New York               -
    * North Carolina         -
    * North Dakota           -
    * Ohio                   -
    * Oklahoma               -
    * Oregon                 -
    * Pennsylvania           -
    * Rhode Island           -
    * South Carolina         - 
    * South Dakota           -
    * Tennessee              -
    * Texas                  -
    * Utah                   -
    * Vermont                -
    * Virginia               -
    * Washington             -
    * West Virginia          -
    * Wisconsin              -
    * Wyoming                -

BONUS QUESTION:

Who will win the popular vote, and what will be the margin of victory over the runner up (as a percentage of total votes counted, to 4 significant figures)?


WINNER:

The winner (highest scorer) will be announced no later than Wednesday night (EST-US), barring any last minute glitches or required counting of provisional ballots (the necessity of which will be decided by me).


NOTE:

When copying the fantasy table, it is preferable to first hit the QUOTE button (either on this post, or any other post containing a properly formatted fantasy table), and then either:
(i) copy the entire table (including the code tags) from there into a new post and enter your predictions, or
(ii) simply delete everything other than the table, put in your predictions, and submit.

See the example submission below.
 

Gokul43201

Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
Gold Member
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Example Submission

Here's an example of what your entry might look like:

FANTASY TABLE:

Code:
    * Alabama                - R
    * Alaska                 - D
    * Arizona                - X
    * Arkansas               - R
    * California             - D
    * Colorado               - X
    * Connecticut            - 
    * Delaware               - D
    * District of Columbia   - X
    * Florida                - R
    * Georgia                - 
    * Hawaii                 - X
    * Idaho                  - R
    * Illinois               - D
    * Indiana                - 
    * Iowa                   - R
    * Kansas                 - D
    * Kentucky               - X
    * Louisiana              - 
    * Maine                  - D
    * Maryland               - X
    * Massachusetts          - R
    * Michigan               - D
    * Minnesota              - X
    * Mississippi            - R
    * Missouri               - D
    * Montana                - X
    * Nebraska               - R
    * Nevada                 - 
    * New Hampshire          - X
    * New Jersey             - R
    * New Mexico             - D
    * New York               - X
    * North Carolina         - R
    * North Dakota           - D
    * Ohio                   - X
    * Oklahoma               - R
    * Oregon                 - D
    * Pennsylvania           - X
    * Rhode Island           - R
    * South Carolina         - D 
    * South Dakota           - X
    * Tennessee              - R
    * Texas                  - D
    * Utah                   - X
    * Vermont                - R
    * Virginia               - D
    * Washington             - 
    * West Virginia          - R
    * Wisconsin              - D
    * Wyoming                - X

BONUS QUESTION:

McCain-Palin will exceed Obama-Biden by a popular vote margin of 12.34%
 

Gokul43201

Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
Gold Member
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No subliminal messages predicting an explosive election were intended in the above example. Nor any suggesting a penetrating analysis.

There's no immediate hurry to turn in your entry now. Feel free to wait until you think you're ready, but no longer than the time till the posted deadline. If you do turn in an entry that you are later unsatisfied with, you can submit a new entry, so long as it is on time. The last submitted entry is the one that counts. Do not submit partial entries or simply post errata/corrections to previous entries - only submit a fully completed entry.

Any questions?
 
Last edited:

phoenixy

Going into the weekend before the elections, here's a game for everyone!
FANTASY TABLE:

Code:
    * Alabama                R 
    * Alaska                 R 
    * Arizona                D
    * Arkansas               R
    * California             D
    * Colorado               D
    * Connecticut            D
    * Delaware               D
    * District of Columbia   D
    * Florida                D
    * Georgia                R
    * Hawaii                 D
    * Idaho                  R
    * Illinois               D
    * Indiana                D
    * Iowa                   D
    * Kansas                 R
    * Kentucky               R
    * Louisiana              R
    * Maine                  D
    * Maryland               D
    * Massachusetts          D
    * Michigan               D
    * Minnesota              D
    * Mississippi            R
    * Missouri               D
    * Montana                D
    * Nebraska               R
    * Nevada                 D
    * New Hampshire          D
    * New Jersey             D
    * New Mexico             D
    * New York               D
    * North Carolina         D
    * North Dakota           D
    * Ohio                   D
    * Oklahoma               R
    * Oregon                 D
    * Pennsylvania           D
    * Rhode Island           D
    * South Carolina         R 
    * South Dakota           R
    * Tennessee              R
    * Texas                  R
    * Utah                   R
    * Vermont                D
    * Virginia               D
    * Washington             D
    * West Virginia          R
    * Wisconsin              D
    * Wyoming                R
BONUS QUESTION:

Who will win the popular vote, and what will be the margin of victory over the runner up (as a percentage of total votes counted, to 4 significant figures)?
O man wins by a margin of 8.888%

I better get a cookie out of this at the very least. Last minute submission is for rookies and cheaters. :biggrin:

Are we allow to make commentary to justify our prediction? I want to see how my inner six-sense fair against 538 Nate's supercomputers.


Edit: commentary
- I predict the feeling of inevitable outcome will settle in soon. Some McCain voters will choose to stay home. Conversely, the bandwagon effect will bring in some free riders for Obama
- So far, youth vote has yet to materialized in early-voting stat. But I do think youngsters will ultimately head to the polls. Obama's GOTV effort will wipe the floor the same way it did during the primary
- factor in one more major blunder from McCain, Sarah, their team, or Joe the Plumber
- factor in undecided getting sick of negative ad, robo-call, nasty snail mail, false information, race-baiting
- factor in recent victories against voter suppression tactic
- factor in lack of Diebold effect
- factor in Bob Barr and Ron Paul
- factor in Obama campaign's ability to surprise reasonable expectation
 
Last edited by a moderator:

Gokul43201

Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
Gold Member
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Feel free to add any commentary, but do not post links to any other sites that make projections. Keep in mind that if others find your arguments compelling, they may chose to copy your (somewhat brave) predictions.

I take it your 8.888% margin is meant to favor Obama-Biden. Please make this clear - you can edit you post if you read this today.
 

BobG

Science Advisor
Homework Helper
110
80
Code:
    * Alabama                R 
    * Alaska                 R 
    * Arizona                R
    * Arkansas               R
    * California             D
    * Colorado               D
    * Connecticut            D
    * Delaware               D
    * District of Columbia   D
    * Florida                D
    * Georgia                R
    * Hawaii                 D
    * Idaho                  R
    * Illinois               D
    * Indiana                D
    * Iowa                   D
    * Kansas                 R
    * Kentucky               R
    * Louisiana              R
    * Maine                  D
    * Maryland               D
    * Massachusetts          D
    * Michigan               D
    * Minnesota              D
    * Mississippi            R
    * Missouri               R
    * Montana                R
    * Nebraska               R
    * Nevada                 D
    * New Hampshire          D
    * New Jersey             D
    * New Mexico             D
    * New York               D
    * North Carolina         R
    * North Dakota           R
    * Ohio                   D
    * Oklahoma               R
    * Oregon                 D
    * Pennsylvania           D
    * Rhode Island           D
    * South Carolina         R 
    * South Dakota           R
    * Tennessee              R
    * Texas                  R
    * Utah                   R
    * Vermont                D
    * Virginia               D
    * Washington             D
    * West Virginia          R
    * Wisconsin              D
    * Wyoming                R

BONUS QUESTION:

Who will win the popular vote, and what will be the margin of victory over the runner up (as a percentage of total votes counted, to 4 significant figures)?

Obama by 4.673%

This turns into a 349-189 win for Obama in the Electoral College. If McCain mounts a furious surge in the last weekend, he might get this down to 286-252 defeat (I think a more strategic move would have been to leave OH, FL and IN blank, but what's the fun in that.)
 
Last edited:
Code:
    * Alabama                R 
    * Alaska                   R 
    * Arizona                  R
    * Arkansas               R
    * California             D
    * Colorado               D
    * Connecticut            D
    * Delaware               D
    * District of Columbia   D
    * Florida                D
    * Georgia                R
    * Hawaii                 D
    * Idaho                  R
    * Illinois               D
    * Indiana                D
    * Iowa                   R
    * Kansas                 R
    * Kentucky               D
    * Louisiana              D
    * Maine                  D
    * Maryland               D
    * Massachusetts          D
    * Michigan               D
    * Minnesota              D
    * Mississippi            R
    * Missouri               D
    * Montana                R
    * Nebraska               R
    * Nevada                 R
    * New Hampshire          D
    * New Jersey             D
    * New Mexico             D
    * New York               D
    * North Carolina         D
    * North Dakota           R
    * Ohio                   D
    * Oklahoma               R
    * Oregon                 R
    * Pennsylvania           D
    * Rhode Island           D
    * South Carolina         D
    * South Dakota           R
    * Tennessee              D
    * Texas                  R
    * Utah                   D
    * Vermont                D
    * Virginia               D
    * Washington             D
    * West Virginia          D
    * Wisconsin              D
    * Wyoming                R

BONUS QUESTION:

Who will win the popular vote, and what will be the margin of victory over the runner up (as a percentage of total votes counted, to 4 significant figures)?

Obama wins the popular vote by a margin of 5%.
 

LowlyPion

Homework Helper
3,079
4
I think this contest should be closed to any employees of Diebold or Diebold Election Systems, or members of their immediate families, as they may be privy to some results that may have already been programmed in.
 
136
0
Code:
    * Alabama                -R
    * Alaska                 -R
    * Arizona                -D
    * Arkansas               -R
    * California             -D
    * Colorado               -D
    * Connecticut            -D
    * Delaware               -D
    * District of Columbia   -D
    * Florida                -D
    * Georgia                -D
    * Hawaii                 -D
    * Idaho                  -R
    * Illinois               -D
    * Indiana                -D
    * Iowa                   -D
    * Kansas                 -R
    * Kentucky               -R
    * Louisiana              -R
    * Maine                  -D
    * Maryland               -D
    * Massachusetts          -D
    * Michigan               -D
    * Minnesota              -D
    * Mississippi            -R
    * Missouri               -D
    * Montana                -D
    * Nebraska               -R
    * Nevada                 -D
    * New Hampshire          -D
    * New Jersey             -D
    * New Mexico             -D
    * New York               -D
    * North Carolina         -D
    * North Dakota           -R
    * Ohio                   -D
    * Oklahoma               -R
    * Oregon                 -D
    * Pennsylvania           -D
    * Rhode Island           -D
    * South Carolina         -R
    * South Dakota           -R
    * Tennessee              -R
    * Texas                  -R
    * Utah                   -R
    * Vermont                -D
    * Virginia               -D
    * Washington             -D
    * West Virginia          -R
    * Wisconsin              -D
    * Wyoming                -R
I filled in all of them, so that's what will count toward my points but I just want to make clear that I'm iffy on the following: AZ, ND, MT, GA, MO and IN.
Bonus: Obama-Biden will beat McCain-Palin by 9.145%
Other prediction (just for fun/bragging rights): Voter turnout will be 61%.
 
2,903
13
Code:
    * Alabama                -O 
    * Alaska                 -B 
    * Arizona                -A
    * Arkansas               -M
    * California             -A
    * Colorado               -O
    * Connecticut            -B
    * Delaware               -A
    * District of Columbia   -M
    * Florida                -A
    * Georgia                -O
    * Hawaii                 -B
    * Idaho                  -A
    * Illinois               -M
    * Indiana                -A
    * Iowa                   -O
    * Kansas                 -B
    * Kentucky               -A
    * Louisiana              -M
    * Maine                  -A
    * Maryland               -O
    * Massachusetts          -B
    * Michigan               -A
    * Minnesota              -M
    * Mississippi            -A
    * Missouri               -O
    * Montana                -B
    * Nebraska               -A
    * Nevada                 -M
    * New Hampshire          -A
    * New Jersey             -O
    * New Mexico             -B
    * New York               -A
    * North Carolina         -M
    * North Dakota           -A
    * Ohio                   -O
    * Oklahoma               -B
    * Oregon                 -A
    * Pennsylvania           -M
    * Rhode Island           -A
    * South Carolina         - O
    * South Dakota           -B
    * Tennessee              -A
    * Texas                  -M
    * Utah                   -A
    * Vermont                -O
    * Virginia               -B
    * Washington             -A
    * West Virginia          -M
    * Wisconsin              -A
    * Wyoming                - !
 

Gokul43201

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Reminder: 15 hours to go before the game is closed to submissions.
 

Evo

Mentor
22,872
2,349
Code:
    * Alabama                -R
    * Alaska                 -R
    * Arizona                -R
    * Arkansas               -R
    * California             -D
    * Colorado               -D
    * Connecticut            -D
    * Delaware               -D
    * District of Columbia   -D
    * Florida                -D
    * Georgia                -R
    * Hawaii                 -D
    * Idaho                  -R
    * Illinois               -D
    * Indiana                -D
    * Iowa                   -D
    * Kansas                 -R
    * Kentucky               -R
    * Louisiana              -R
    * Maine                  -D
    * Maryland               -D
    * Massachusetts          -D
    * Michigan               -D
    * Minnesota              -D
    * Mississippi            -R
    * Missouri               -D
    * Montana                -R
    * Nebraska               -R
    * Nevada                 -D
    * New Hampshire          -D
    * New Jersey             -D
    * New Mexico             -D
    * New York               -D
    * North Carolina         -R
    * North Dakota           -R
    * Ohio                   -D
    * Oklahoma               -R
    * Oregon                 -D
    * Pennsylvania           -D
    * Rhode Island           -D
    * South Carolina         -R
    * South Dakota           -R
    * Tennessee              -R
    * Texas                  -R
    * Utah                   -R
    * Vermont                -D
    * Virginia               -D
    * Washington             -D
    * West Virginia          -R
    * Wisconsin              -D
    * Wyoming                -R
I'm stealing check's, but I might alter some.

Bonus: Obama by 3.842
 
Last edited:
246
6
FANTASY TABLE:

Code:
    * Alabama                -R 
    * Alaska                 -R
    * Arizona                -R
    * Arkansas               -R
    * California             -D
    * Colorado               -D
    * Connecticut            -D
    * Delaware               -D
    * District of Columbia   -D
    * Florida                -R
    * Georgia                -R
    * Hawaii                 -D
    * Idaho                  -R
    * Illinois               -D
    * Indiana                -R
    * Iowa                   -R
    * Kansas                 -R
    * Kentucky               -R
    * Louisiana              -R
    * Maine                  -D
    * Maryland               -D
    * Massachusetts          -D
    * Michigan               -D
    * Minnesota              -D
    * Mississippi            -R
    * Missouri               -R
    * Montana                -R
    * Nebraska               -R
    * Nevada                 -R
    * New Hampshire          -D
    * New Jersey             -D
    * New Mexico             -D
    * New York               -D
    * North Carolina         -R
    * North Dakota           -R
    * Ohio                   -R
    * Oklahoma               -R
    * Oregon                 -D
    * Pennsylvania           -D
    * Rhode Island           -D
    * South Carolina         - R
    * South Dakota           -R
    * Tennessee              -R
    * Texas                  -R
    * Utah                   -R
    * Vermont                -D
    * Virginia               -R
    * Washington             -D
    * West Virginia          -R
    * Wisconsin              -D
    * Wyoming                - R
Obama - 273
McCain - 263

BONUS QUESTION:

Who will win the popular vote, and what will be the margin of victory over the runner up (as a percentage of total votes counted, to 4 significant figures)?

2.000
 

OrbitalPower

Code:
    * Alabama                -R 
    * Alaska                 -R
    * Arizona                -R
    * Arkansas               -R
    * California             -D
    * Colorado               -D
    * Connecticut            -D
    * Delaware               -D
    * District of Columbia   -D
    * Florida                -D
    * Georgia                -R
    * Hawaii                 -D
    * Idaho                  -R
    * Illinois               -D
    * Indiana                -R
    * Iowa                   -D
    * Kansas                 -R
    * Kentucky               -R
    * Louisiana              -R
    * Maine                  -D
    * Maryland               -D
    * Massachusetts          -D
    * Michigan               -D
    * Minnesota              -D
    * Mississippi            -R
    * Missouri               -R
    * Montana                -R
    * Nebraska               -R
    * Nevada                 -D
    * New Hampshire          -D
    * New Jersey             -D
    * New Mexico             -D
    * New York               -D
    * North Carolina         -R
    * North Dakota           -R
    * Ohio                   -D
    * Oklahoma               -R
    * Oregon                 -D
    * Pennsylvania           -D
    * Rhode Island           -D
    * South Carolina         -R
    * South Dakota           -R
    * Tennessee              -R
    * Texas                  -R
    * Utah                   -R
    * Vermont                -D
    * Virginia               -D
    * Washington             -D
    * West Virginia          -R
    * Wisconsin              -D
    * Wyoming                -R
Popular vote to four figures 5.359
 

cristo

Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
8,056
72
Code:
    * Alabama                -R 
    * Alaska                 -R
    * Arizona                -R
    * Arkansas               -R
    * California             -D
    * Colorado               -D
    * Connecticut            -D
    * Delaware               -D
    * District of Columbia   -D
    * Florida                -R
    * Georgia                -R
    * Hawaii                 -D
    * Idaho                  -R
    * Illinois               -D
    * Indiana                -D
    * Iowa                   -D
    * Kansas                 -R
    * Kentucky               -R
    * Louisiana              -R
    * Maine                  -D
    * Maryland               -D
    * Massachusetts          -D
    * Michigan               -D
    * Minnesota              -D
    * Mississippi            -R
    * Missouri               -D
    * Montana                -R
    * Nebraska               -R
    * Nevada                 -D
    * New Hampshire          -D
    * New Jersey             -D
    * New Mexico             -D
    * New York               -D
    * North Carolina         -D
    * North Dakota           -R
    * Ohio                   -D
    * Oklahoma               -R
    * Oregon                 -D
    * Pennsylvania           -D
    * Rhode Island           -D
    * South Carolina         -R
    * South Dakota           -R
    * Tennessee              -R
    * Texas                  -R
    * Utah                   -R
    * Vermont                -D
    * Virginia               -D
    * Washington             -D
    * West Virginia          -R
    * Wisconsin              -D
    * Wyoming                -R
Obama wins popular vote by 6.759%
 

Ivan Seeking

Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
Gold Member
7,093
174
Code:
    * Alabama                R 
    * Alaska                 R 
    * Arizona                R
    * Arkansas               R
    * California             D
    * Colorado               D
    * Connecticut            D
    * Delaware               D
    * District of Columbia   D
    * Florida                D
    * Georgia                R
    * Hawaii                 D
    * Idaho                  R
    * Illinois               D
    * Indiana                R
    * Iowa                   D
    * Kansas                 R
    * Kentucky               R
    * Louisiana              R
    * Maine                  D
    * Maryland               D
    * Massachusetts          D
    * Michigan               D
    * Minnesota              D
    * Mississippi            R
    * Missouri               D
    * Montana                R
    * Nebraska               R
    * Nevada                 D
    * New Hampshire          D
    * New Jersey             D
    * New Mexico             D
    * New York               D
    * North Carolina         D
    * North Dakota           R
    * Ohio                   D
    * Oklahoma               R
    * Oregon                 D
    * Pennsylvania           D
    * Rhode Island           D
    * South Carolina         R 
    * South Dakota           R
    * Tennessee              R
    * Texas                  R
    * Utah                   R
    * Vermont                D
    * Virginia               D
    * Washington             D
    * West Virginia          R
    * Wisconsin              D
    * Wyoming                R
Obama by 7.200%.
 

Astronuc

Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
18,547
1,682
Code:
    * Alabama                R 
    * Alaska                 R 
    * Arizona                D
    * Arkansas               R
    * California             D
    * Colorado               D
    * Connecticut            D
    * Delaware               D
    * District of Columbia   D
    * Florida                D
    * Georgia                D
    * Hawaii                 D
    * Idaho                  R
    * Illinois               D
    * Indiana                D
    * Iowa                   D
    * Kansas                 R
    * Kentucky               R
    * Louisiana              R
    * Maine                  D
    * Maryland               D
    * Massachusetts          D
    * Michigan               D
    * Minnesota              D
    * Mississippi            R
    * Missouri               D
    * Montana                D
    * Nebraska               R
    * Nevada                 D
    * New Hampshire          D
    * New Jersey             D
    * New Mexico             D
    * New York               D
    * North Carolina         D
    * North Dakota           D
    * Ohio                   D
    * Oklahoma               R
    * Oregon                 D
    * Pennsylvania           D
    * Rhode Island           D
    * South Carolina         R 
    * South Dakota           R
    * Tennessee              R
    * Texas                  R
    * Utah                   R
    * Vermont                D
    * Virginia               D
    * Washington             D
    * West Virginia          R
    * Wisconsin              D
    * Wyoming                R
Bonus: Obama by at least 10.000% of popular vote
 

LowlyPion

Homework Helper
3,079
4
Code:
    * Alabama                R .
    * Alaska                 R .
    * Arizona                R .
    * Arkansas               R .
    * California             D .
    * Colorado               D .
    * Connecticut            D .
    * Delaware               D .
    * District of Columbia   D .
    * Florida                D .
    * Georgia                R .
    * Hawaii                 D .
    * Idaho                  R .
    * Illinois               D .
    * Indiana                R .
    * Iowa                   D .
    * Kansas                 R .
    * Kentucky               R .
    * Louisiana              R .
    * Maine                  D .
    * Maryland               D .
    * Massachusetts          D .
    * Michigan               D .
    * Minnesota              D .
    * Mississippi            R .
    * Missouri               D .
    * Montana                R .
    * Nebraska               R .
    * Nevada                 D .
    * New Hampshire          D .
    * New Jersey             D .
    * New Mexico             D .
    * New York               D .
    * North Carolina         D .
    * North Dakota           R .
    * Ohio                   D .
    * Oklahoma               R .
    * Oregon                 D .
    * Pennsylvania           D .
    * Rhode Island           D .
    * South Carolina         R .
    * South Dakota           R .
    * Tennessee              R .
    * Texas                  R .
    * Utah                   R .
    * Vermont                D .
    * Virginia               D .
    * Washington             D .
    * West Virginia          R .
    * Wisconsin              D .
    * Wyoming                R .
Obama by 6.273% [/QUOTE]
 

Gokul43201

Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
Gold Member
6,987
14
Something extra, just to pass the time until the results come in:

How big do you think voter turnout will prove to be (as a fraction of the eligible voters)?

Historically (see green line) ...
http://elections.gmu.edu/images/turnout.jpg [Broken]​

1908 had a record 66% turnout. Will we see a bigger number this year?
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Something extra, just to pass the time until the results come in:

How big do you think voter turnout will prove to be (as a fraction of the eligible voters)?

Historically (see green line) ...
http://elections.gmu.edu/images/turnout.jpg [Broken]​

1908 had a record 66% turnout. Will we see a bigger number this year?
It's important to note the steep incline in voter turnout since 1996, which is a positive sign.
 
Last edited by a moderator:

LowlyPion

Homework Helper
3,079
4
1908 had a record 66% turnout. Will we see a bigger number this year?
They are thinking that there will be about 140 M voters. Of something like 220 M that looks like about 64% on your chart that I think represents voters as a percentage of Voting age population.

But I think Registered voters is only about 170 M which means that 82.3% of those will be necessary to get to the 64% of the voting age population.
 
What does the VEP turnout rate stand for?
 

Gokul43201

Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
Gold Member
6,987
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VAP = voting age population
VEP = voting eligible population

Some members of the VAP set are ineligible to vote (convicted felons in most states, etc.).
 

Gokul43201

Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
Gold Member
6,987
14
It's important to note the steep incline in voter turnout since 1996, which is a positive sign.
Thanks to Rove, Mehlman and Trippi, to name a few key figures.
 

LowlyPion

Homework Helper
3,079
4
What does the VEP turnout rate stand for?
Voting eligible population.

Wikipedia said:
¹ The voting age population includes all persons age 18 and over as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau, which necessarily includes a significant number of persons ineligible to vote, such as non-citizens, felons, and the mentally incompetent. The actual number of eligible voters is somewhat lower, and the number of registered voters is lower still. The number of non-citizens in 1994 was approximately 13 million, and in 1996, felons numbered around 1.3 million, so it can be estimated that around 7-10% of the voting age population is ineligible to vote.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election#Voter_turnout
 

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