# Presidential Election Game

• News
Based upon my election game predictions I have D= 402 R= 136.

OrbitalPower
I think LowlyPion and I probably came the closest, although I think I might be closer on the popular vote I think he has more states right than I do so far.

Evo
Mentor
I got 100% correct, with the two tied states.

BobG
Homework Helper
I'm at a 100% for called states. I'm probably right on Missouri (McCain) and Indiana (Obama). North Carolina will probably go the wrong way for me (I picked McCain).

LowlyPion
Homework Helper
My feeling is that the country won this game.

Let's give the game ball to America.

Staff Emeritus
Gold Member
Looks like all states have been finally called (at least sort of). The table below lists the final outcomes. MO goes to McCain and NC to Obama. Ignore Nebraska's 2nd Congressional district.

Code:
    * Alabama                R
* Arizona                R
* Arkansas               R
* California             D
* Connecticut            D
* Delaware               D
* District of Columbia   D
* Florida                D
* Georgia                R
* Hawaii                 D
* Idaho                  R
* Illinois               D
* Indiana                D
* Iowa                   D
* Kansas                 R
* Kentucky               R
* Louisiana              R
* Maine                  D
* Maryland               D
* Massachusetts          D
* Michigan               D
* Minnesota              D
* Mississippi            R
* Missouri               R
* Montana                R
* New Hampshire          D
* New Jersey             D
* New Mexico             D
* New York               D
* North Carolina         D
* North Dakota           R
* Ohio                   D
* Oklahoma               R
* Oregon                 D
* Pennsylvania           D
* Rhode Island           D
* South Carolina         R
* South Dakota           R
* Tennessee              R
* Texas                  R
* Utah                   R
* Vermont                D
* Virginia               D
* Washington             D
* West Virginia          R
* Wisconsin              D
* Wyoming                R
Compare your own table with the one above and post your score. Remember, you get +1 for every correct prediction, -1 for each wrong guess and 0 for every "no comment".

BobG
Homework Helper
50 correct
1 wrong

score: 49

My guess for difference in popular vote: 4.673%
(Actual was around 6%. I was lucky I picked Obama for all the states I was tempted to leave blank. The true toss-up states shifted just a little into McCain territory.)

mgb_phys
Homework Helper
Looks like the turnout wasn't the massive record breaker expected - although participation was up among young people, african-americans and democrats it was down among republlicans.

Staff Emeritus
Gold Member
Okay, it didn't take long to count, so here are the scores:

Code:
phoenixy       48 - 3 = 45
BobG           50 - 1 = 49
LightbulbSun   44 - 7 = 37
check          47 - 4 = 43
cyrus          (0-50)!~-10[sup]65[/sup]
Evo            49 - 2 = 47
vociferous     44 - 7 = 37
Orbital Power  49 - 2 = 47
cristo         49 - 2 = 47
Ivan Seeking   49 - 2 = 47
Astronuc       46 - 5 = 41
LowlyPion      49 - 2 = 47
If I haven't made any mistakes in my quick count, this makes BobG the winner.

Sir BobG. I dub thee: Electoral Geek 2008.

Also, just for fun, the popular vote margin currently appears to be 6.24% (+/- 0.02%). The following are the errors in the popular vote margin estimates (a positive error indicates an overestimate of the Obama-Biden margin):

Code:
phoenixy       +2.65%
BobG           -1.57%
LightbulbSun   -1.24%
check          +2.81%
Evo            -2.40%
vociferous     -4.24%
Orbital Power  -0.88%
cristo         +0.52%
Ivan Seeking   +0.96%
Astronuc      >+3.76%
LowlyPion      +0.03%
LowlyPion, coming incredibly close to the current popular vote margin, earns the eponym: Popular Geek 2008

LowlyPion
Homework Helper
My guesses were luckier than I knew.

I missed 2 states - 1 by about 9Kvotes and the other by about 26K votes and I missed the margin total by 29K votes. Both won by Obama.

I suppose my best claim can say that Obama got 29K more voters out than I was guessing and I am more than pleased to have missed in that direction for the sake of the country.

The New York Times has an intriguing map that shows the Δ vote % between 2008 and 2004. It is a most revealing country wide map. If I were to guess where race may have made a difference ...

http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/president/map.html

Check out Voting Shifts.

The other views are interesting as well, but the Voting Shifts shows how across the board he changed things.

lisab
Staff Emeritus
Gold Member
My guesses were luckier than I knew.

I missed 2 states - 1 by about 9Kvotes and the other by about 26K votes and I missed the margin total by 29K votes. Both won by Obama.

I suppose my best claim can say that Obama got 29K more voters out than I was guessing and I am more than pleased to have missed in that direction for the sake of the country.

The New York Times has an intriguing map that shows the Δ vote % between 2008 and 2004. It is a most revealing country wide map. If I were to guess where race may have made a difference ...

http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/president/map.html

Check out Voting Shifts.

The other views are interesting as well, but the Voting Shifts shows how across the board he changed things.

Wow - once you're on Voting Shifts, slide the year around...love that blue!

Staff Emeritus