Probability Game: Find Chance of Landing on Each Spot 1-10

In summary, the conversation discusses a game for a data management class that consists of one die and 10 spots, with a hurdle every 3 spots where the player must flip a coin to continue. The question is how to find the probability of landing on each spot and finishing the game. The conversation ends with the suggestion to consider the probability of finishing the game in a certain number of turns, but the effect of the hurdles is unclear at this point.
  • #1
Data&Stuff
3
0
I need help with finding the probability of the following game, I am making game for my data management class. The game consits of one die, so rolling anything between 1 and 6, there is 10 spots from the beginning to end and every 3 spots there is a hurdle where the player has to flip coin to determine if he crosses or not.
First question :
I want to know how can I find the probability of landing on each different spot from one to ten ? The probability of the coin is pretty simple, but I need help . please help me :(
 
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  • #2
The rules of the game are not quite clear to me... For example: what happens if I roll a 6?
 
  • #3
well there is just one dice, and there is 10 cases. so if you roll a 6 you land on the sixth spot ?
I just want to know how to find the probability of finishing the game and rolls.
 
  • #4
Well, with the information you gave me, the transition matrix of your game is

[tex]\left(\begin{array}{cccccccccc}
0 & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & 0 & 0 & 0\\
0 & 0 & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & 0 & 0\\
0 & 0 & 0 & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & 0\\
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6}\\
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{3}\\
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{2}\\
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{2}{3}\\
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & \frac{1}{6} & \frac{5}{6}\\
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1\\
0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 1\\
\end{array}\right) [/tex]

With that matrix, you can easily calculate that the probability that you finish the game is 1. But that is probably not the answer that you want... Maybe you should ask the question: what is the probability that I finish the game in 4 turns (or something likely).

The probability of finishing the game in 1 turn is 0
The probability of finishing the game in 2 turns is 0.27
The probability of finishing the game in 3 turns is 0.74
The probability of finishing the game in 4 turns is 0.94
The probability of finishing the game in 5 turns is 0.99
The probability of finishing the game in 6 turns is 0.99
The probability of finishing the game in 7 turns is 0.99
The probability of finishing the game in 8 turns is 0.99
The probability of finishing the game in 9 turns is 1


Of course, this probabilities are without the "hurdles" every 3 places. I did not factor them in because you did not yet explain what they do...
 
  • #5


I would approach this problem by first defining the variables involved. In this case, we have a single die with 6 possible outcomes, and a coin with 2 possible outcomes. The game also has a specific set up with 10 spots and hurdles every 3 spots.

To find the probability of landing on each spot, we need to consider the possible combinations of outcomes from rolling the die and flipping the coin. For example, if the player rolls a 1 on the die and flips a heads on the coin, they would advance 1 spot on the game board. If they roll a 2 and flip a tails, they would advance 2 spots.

We can create a table to show all the possible outcomes and their associated probabilities:

Die Roll | Coin Flip | Result | Probability
1 | Heads | Advance 1 spot | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12
1 | Tails | Stay on same spot | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12
2 | Heads | Advance 2 spots | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12
2 | Tails | Stay on same spot | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12
3 | Heads | Advance 3 spots | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12
3 | Tails | Stay on same spot | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12
4 | Heads | Advance 1 spot | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12
4 | Tails | Stay on same spot | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12
5 | Heads | Advance 2 spots | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12
5 | Tails | Stay on same spot | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12
6 | Heads | Advance 3 spots | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12
6 | Tails | Stay on same spot | 1/6 * 1/2 = 1/12

From this table, we can see that the probability of landing on each spot is not
 

1. What is the purpose of the probability game?

The purpose of the probability game is to determine the chances of landing on each spot (1-10) when playing a game with a spinner or dice. This can help players make informed decisions and strategize their moves.

2. How is the probability of landing on each spot calculated?

The probability of landing on each spot is calculated by dividing the number of possible outcomes that result in landing on that spot by the total number of possible outcomes. For example, if there are 10 spots and the spinner has 4 green sections, the probability of landing on a green spot would be 4/10 or 40%.

3. Can the probability of landing on each spot change?

Yes, the probability of landing on each spot can change depending on the conditions of the game. For example, if a spot is removed or added to the game, the probability of landing on each spot will be affected.

4. How does the number of spots affect the probability of landing on each spot?

The number of spots directly affects the probability of landing on each spot. The more spots there are, the lower the probability of landing on a specific spot. Conversely, the fewer spots there are, the higher the probability of landing on a specific spot.

5. Are there any strategies for increasing the chances of landing on a specific spot?

Yes, there are some strategies that can increase the chances of landing on a specific spot. For example, if there are multiple spins or rolls in a game, players can take note of the spots that have not been landed on yet and use that information to make their moves. However, ultimately, the outcome of the game is still based on chance and there is no guaranteed way to land on a specific spot.

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