hi everybody, I have no idea how to figure this out and would really appreciate some help. Ok I'll try and explain this as best i can, and if I miss anything or you need more information let me know and I'll try and explain more. Suppose you have 37 balls, 24 blue and 13 red. after each pick the chosen ball gets put back in the bag so it can be picked again. So the probability of drawing 3 red balls in a row is roughly 4%. now suppose you pick 3 red balls,then a blue ball, 3 more red balls,then a blue ball (it doesn't matter how many blue balls, i just picked 1 to make it simple, it could be 10 or 40, it doesn't matter), and then 1 red ball. If the next ball picked is blue, i win 1 point. But if the next ball picked is red, i lose 2 points. I know that the chance of getting another red ball is less than 1 in 1,000. What i'm trying to figure out though is if this situation comes up more than once in a thousand ball picks, because it would have to come up at least 3 times in order for me to win consistently (if it comes up once i lose a point, twice i break even, 3 times win). Anyone know how to figure this out?(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});

Thanks,

Tim

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# Probability of streaks

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