Hi,(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});

I was just working on a problem based on the probability of wind or rain. The only way to solve it is to assume they are dependent factors when they clearly are not. Assuming independence will lead to the wrong conclusion.

If stats demands one ignore reality to solve a problem, to bend reality into the formula to make it accurate I contend it is nothing but game playing and puzzle solving, at least in probability.

Another great example we have been given on an exam is you have 6 multiple choice questions.. You have an 80% chance of getting any one individual question right. Create a scenario where you can get 100% correct. The solution is some bizarre random number scheme and does NOT give 100% accuracy. Anything less than KNOWING 100% would be pure chance.

I never thought I would miss vector calc but at least you could prove it without changing reality...

W

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# Statistics is NOT mathematics

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