Test your ESP

Ivan Seeking

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FZ+

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A simple test:
http://www.eciis.org/esptest/tester2.jsp [Broken]
I am getting the feeling there is something wrong about the probability statement used in this one. In 7 out of 10 trials I did, pressing only the square card 10 times, I acheived over 20% success rate. I smell a rat... or maybe I'm just very lucky

Probably a fairer test is to compare results with that obtained by another RNG...



In the second test, It judged me as having no evidence for esp, but told me my calculator RNG was clairvoyant. Which is pretty disturbing.
 
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Ivan Seeking

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Originally posted by FZ+
I am getting the feeling there is something wrong about the probability statement used in this one. In 7 out of 10 trials I did, pressing only the square card 10 times, I acheived over 20% success rate. I smell a rat... or maybe I'm just very lucky
20% is the expected result - 1:5 for any card. Why do you think that something is wrong?
 

FZ+

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Because in my placebo run I got consistently better than expected. Though this can be just a statistical fluke.

Lies, damned lies, and....
 

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