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The Hurricane Thread

  1. Jul 13, 2006 #1
    Since many of us have personal interest in tropical weather, including myself, I thought it might be helpful to have a thread to keep up with it before it happens. Especially since this season is forecasted to be "very active" (NOAA) in the N. Atlantic. :frown: I think my main objective with this is for it to be an advance notification - seeing the thread suddenly jump to the top of the forum, might alert our members to important news, before it makes the news proper. Surprises are bad. And also of course, general discussion about plans, questions, humor, whatever. My opinion is that a unified thread on this is useful, because otherwise there could be dozens of small threads popping up at any sign of development and causing confusion.

    Anyway - quick ground rules: I myself will only introduce stuff happening in the NA basin (affects eastern US coast, Gulf of Mexico and up to Canada, Central America, the Carribean, Bermuda, Spain, etc.); of course developments in other basins are also welcome. Sources for tracking information should be reputable - such as national weather services. Don't link to crackpot sites, please, there were enough of those threads last year. And obviously, don't use this thread for planning purposes or anything.

    That in mind, here goes! The official long-range forecast for this year is:
    http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2006/s2634.htm
    Of course this has a huge margin of uncertainty - c.f. last year.
     
  2. jcsd
  3. Jul 13, 2006 #2
    Last edited: Jul 13, 2006
  4. Aug 8, 2006 #3

    Bystander

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    Headline (Fox ticker): NOAA "adjusts" season forecast to 12-14 "named" storms, 4 major; compared to Hurricane service's May forecast of 16 and 6.

    Other recent thread: https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=127819
     
  5. Aug 8, 2006 #4

    Evo

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    It's been unusually quiet this summer, but we still have most of August and some of September to go.
     
  6. Aug 8, 2006 #5

    Astronuc

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  7. Sep 14, 2006 #6

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  8. Sep 14, 2006 #7

    Astronuc

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    But,

    Well Ernesto was barely a Cat 1 storm.
    http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200605.asp

    Hurricane Florence remained a Cat 1 storm but did not threaten the US or Canadian coastlines -
    http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200606.asp
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2006/FLORENCE.shtml?
    Gordon is expected to remain far out to sea, and will probably follow Florence to the NNE.

    http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200607.asp - turning NNE - further east than Florence. It will be interesting to see how this will affect Europe.
    Helene is far enough south that it might get to the Caribbean and perhaps the Gulf - or into Mexico. - http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200608.asp - Helene looks like its jogging NW at the moment. Interesting if it turns and follows Gordon.
     
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