Valuing Ordinary Shares with constant growth model

In summary, to answer this question, you will need to use the Gordon Growth Model formula to calculate the present value of the stock with non-constant growth.
  • #1
melissa*k
1
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Hi I am reall stuck on this question.

company A has invested in a new machine The company has decided that for the next two years that it will reinvest all its earnings from other company products into rolling out the new product. Earnings per share were $2 in the past year and have been growing at an average rate of 9%. At the end of year 3, the company will begin paying a dividend per share of $2.50. This dividend is expected to grow very quickly at a rate of 30% in years 4 and 5 while the company still has a monopoly in the market. The rate of dividend growth, however, is expected to slow in year 6 to 20% and in year 7 to 10% until finally, in year 8, growth is expected to be a more normal constant growth of 4% as competitors develop and begin marketing alternative products. This required return company A shares is estimated to be 15% and company A shares are currently trading at $21.05.

I am not sure where to begin and what formula to use to answer this question (I think it is the non constant growth) but not sure how i should record the two years with no reeturns? any help would be appreciated thanks
 
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  • #2
.To answer this question, you will need to use the Gordon Growth Model formula. This formula allows you to calculate the present value of a stock with non-constant growth. The Gordon Growth Model formula is as follows: P = D/(r-g)Where P is the current price of the stock, D is the dividend per share, r is the required rate of return, and g is the growth rate of the dividend.For this problem, P = 21.05, D = 2.50, r = 15%, and g = 9%, 0%, 30%, 20%, 10%, 4% for years 1-8 respectively. You can then plug these values into the formula to calculate the present value of the stock.
 

1. What is the constant growth model and how does it work?

The constant growth model, also known as the Gordon Growth Model, is a method of valuing stocks by estimating their intrinsic value based on their expected future dividends. It assumes that the stock's dividends will grow at a constant rate indefinitely. The formula for the constant growth model is V = D / (r - g), where V is the intrinsic value, D is the expected dividend, r is the required rate of return, and g is the constant growth rate.

2. What are the key assumptions of the constant growth model?

The constant growth model is based on several key assumptions, including: a constant growth rate, a constant required rate of return, and an infinite time horizon. It also assumes that the dividends are paid out regularly and that the company has a stable and predictable earnings and dividend growth rate.

3. How does the constant growth rate affect the valuation of a stock?

The constant growth rate is a crucial factor in the constant growth model as it directly impacts the intrinsic value of a stock. A higher growth rate will result in a higher intrinsic value, while a lower growth rate will result in a lower intrinsic value. Therefore, it is essential to accurately estimate the growth rate to determine the correct valuation of a stock.

4. What are the limitations of using the constant growth model for stock valuation?

While the constant growth model is a useful tool for valuing stocks, it has some limitations. It assumes that the growth rate and required rate of return remain constant, which may not always be the case in the real world. It also does not take into account changes in the market or company-specific factors that can affect the stock's value. Additionally, the model may not be suitable for valuing stocks of companies that do not pay dividends.

5. How can the constant growth model be used in practice?

The constant growth model can be used by investors and analysts to estimate the intrinsic value of a stock and compare it to its current market price. If the intrinsic value is higher than the market price, the stock may be undervalued and considered a good investment opportunity. However, if the intrinsic value is lower than the market price, the stock may be overvalued and considered a risky investment. It is important to consider other valuation methods and factors when making investment decisions.

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