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WMD attack by 2013

  1. Dec 24, 2008 #1
    I don't know if you all heard, but there a Congressional committee on stopping proliferation of WMD's recently (right after the Mumbai attacks, I believe) released a report stating that we could expect a terrorist attack using either nuclear, biological, or chemical weapons by 2013. It stated that, while progress had been made in securing these weapons, not enough was being made and our margin of security was shrinking.

    What do you think about all this? Are there any experts in the field here? Do you think this is real or is it fearmongering? And do you think President-Elect Obama can/will do enough to prevent it?

    Me personally, I'm pretty apprehensive. I go to UCLA so I live in one of the biggest cities in the US. And think about it, what better place to attack than the most sinful, liberal part of the Great Satan? I mean, it is pretty far from the downtown area, but it's still one of the "posher" areas of LA. It's so depressing, as well as frightening. I mean, I'm almost done, only got a year left, and I'm REALLY looking forward to this huge 26-hour dance marathon in February. But I can't seem to stop thinking that I'll be dead by the end of the school year.

    Come to think of it, what's to stop something like Mumbai from happening at the dance marathon? Thousands of young, idealistic college kids living their dreams out in an all-American college in one of the largest cities in America.

    I don't know. Am I just being paranoid, or are these fears justified?
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  3. Dec 24, 2008 #2


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    At the moment, the probability that any specific event or location should become the target of a terrorist attack, is practically zero.

    Sinfulness is in the eye of the beholder, who will see it wherever he is.

    That SOME terrorist attack will happen in the next few years is, however, rather likely.
  4. Dec 24, 2008 #3


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    Do you have a reference to this report telling us to expect such an attack within the next five years? If not, then all this is just speculation.
  5. Dec 24, 2008 #4
    Here's one article on the report.

    I don't think you can say that the probability of a strike at any one place is essentially zero. Surely the probability of a strike in Times Square is greater than that of one in Gary, Indiana?
  6. Dec 24, 2008 #5
    More scare tactics to keep us edgy enough to allow MORE infringements upon our rights. Yee-haw.
  7. Dec 24, 2008 #6

    Ivan Seeking

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    We have discussed this before. The number that I have seen is I think a 50% chance in the next ten years.

    Has anyone ever seen the movie, Brazil? It is a tongue-in-cheek, retro-futuristic movie in which terrorist attacks are just a normal part of the daily routine.
  8. Dec 24, 2008 #7

    Ivan Seeking

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    If you live in fear, the terrorists win.

    Be happy. Don't worry.
  9. Dec 24, 2008 #8

    The other years aren't any better. I think things may be getting out of hand. :p

    Exactly. The most important thing anyone can do in dealing with terrorists is to show them how futile their cause is. When you surrender anything to them out of fear, you're inviting them to take more and more.
  10. Dec 24, 2008 #9
    If the terrorists accomplish their goals, the terrorists win. Fortunately, it's not likely they will:
  11. Dec 24, 2008 #10
    The only thing I fear about terrorism is how our government responds to it. I used to be comfortable flying, but now the hoops we have to go through keep me away entirely. Not the fear of being flown into a building or blown up. Terrorists are an indirect nuisance.

    They should be called nuisancists.
  12. Dec 24, 2008 #11


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    That's so broad as to be pretty useless. An actual nuclear bomb going off in Time Square is one thing - packets of anthrax mailed out to members of the media and government is quite another. Do you even remember that that happened in the months following 9/11? So you tell me: since their prediction has already come true, did you even remember it well enough to be afraid of it?
  13. Dec 24, 2008 #12
    I haven't read the report but it sounds like fear mongering is at the core here. Even just the way they lump the use of chemical, biological and nuclear weapons into the same over all possibility sounds absurd. I mean if they lump hand guns in there too the headlines would read "Use of nuclear, biological, chemical or hand held weapons an absolute certainty in all major cities in the USA!!!"
  14. Dec 26, 2008 #13


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    Did you read the or scan the report? The report provides several recommendations. What do you think?
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