Recent content by BarryS

Thank you. My I presume you use areal coverage exclusively because you are in a tropical zone, and so your confidence of rain somewhere in any 12 hour period is usually near 1? It sounds like you are saying that "areal coverage" means precisely the value of A in my post (that was part of my...

I have seen the Probability of Precipitation defined as $\mathrm{PoP} = C \cdot A$ where $C$ is the confidence that measurable precipitation will occur somewhere within the forecast area during the forecast period, and $A$ is the percentage of the forecast area that will experience...