sysprog1's latest activity
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sysprog1 replied to the thread Undergrad Why the initial choice matters in the Monty Hall problem.From a prior thread: It seems to me that the contestant who considers this rule as a postulate, without considering the specifics of... -
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sysprog1 reacted to Baluncore's post in the thread Undergrad Why the initial choice matters in the Monty Hall problem with
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The player selects one door of three. That selected door comes with a frozen probability attached, of 33% that it will win. Then one... -
sysprog1 replied to the thread Undergrad Why the initial choice matters in the Monty Hall problem.In that simulation/illustration, what did you devise/implement for/as the algorithmic/procedural basis by which the simulated player...
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sysprog1 reacted to Dale's post in the thread Undergrad Why the initial choice matters in the Monty Hall problem with Like.
It looks like the correct strategy can be inferred with 15-20 observations per strategy with greater than 0.95 probability. Here is a...
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sysprog1 replied to the thread Undergrad Why the initial choice matters in the Monty Hall problem.How long is 'eventually' for the rule to emerge? How many observations would be needed to infer the rule that: in 2/3 of the cases...
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sysprog1 reacted to Dale's post in the thread Undergrad Why the initial choice matters in the Monty Hall problem with Like.
I thought, what if a Bayesian just watched the show and wanted to figure out the best strategy empirically. How many contests would they...
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sysprog1 replied to the thread Undergrad Why the initial choice matters in the Monty Hall problem.When the contestant has chosen a non-prize door, Monty always opens the other non-prize door; when and only when the contestant has...
