Calculating Probability of Golf Ball Landing Near Hole on 4th Hole

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating the probability of a golf ball landing near the hole on the 4th hole of a golf course, specifically within 2 feet of the center of the hole. It includes both a probability problem related to geometry and a finite difference problem related to a polynomial function.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Mathematical reasoning
  • Homework-related

Main Points Raised

  • One participant presents a word problem about the probability of a golf ball landing within 2 feet of the hole located at the center of a circular green with a radius of 20 yards.
  • Another participant suggests calculating the areas of the green and the 2-foot circle to find the probability as a ratio, emphasizing the importance of consistent units.
  • A participant claims to have calculated the probability ratio as 900 to 1, questioning if this is correct.
  • Another participant agrees with the ratio, explaining that the area ratio leads to a probability of 1/900, while also expressing confusion about the finite difference problem presented.
  • A later reply clarifies the finite difference problem, stating that it involves showing that the nth-order differences for a cubic polynomial are nonzero and constant.
  • One participant expresses curiosity about the 900 to 1 ratio and questions if the probability could also be interpreted as 1%.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants generally agree on the method of calculating the probability using area ratios, but there is no consensus on the interpretation of the probability value or the finite difference problem, which remains unresolved.

Contextual Notes

There are limitations regarding the assumptions made about the ball always landing on the green and the need for consistent units in area calculations. The finite difference problem's requirements are also not fully clarified.

Who May Find This Useful

This discussion may be useful for individuals interested in probability calculations, geometric reasoning, and polynomial functions, particularly in the context of applied mathematics or physics problems.

woodworker101
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I have a word problem and then a finite difference problem.

You are playing golf on the 4th hole of your favorite course. The green on this hole is circular with a radius of 20 yards. If the hole is located at the exact center of the green, what is the probablility that the ball will randomly fall within 2 feet of the center of the hole?

finding Finite differences - nth order differences

f(x) = 2x^2 -5x^2 -x

I don't know how to start it and how to get the answer. Thanks for the help.
 
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Assuming the ball will always land on the green, just find the area of the green and the area of the 2-foot circle, then compare them (in a ratio). (Remember to keep your units consistent).
 
I got 900 to 1. Is the correct or even close.
 
Yes. Actually, you don't even need to calculate the areas themselves to compare them. The hole has radius 2 feet and the green 60 feet- a ratio of 1 to 30. Since area depends on the square of linear distance the area will have ratio 1 to 900.
The probability that a ball that lands randomly on the green will land in the hole is 1/900.

As for f(x) = 2x^2 -5x^2 -x, I see a function (although I would write f(x)=
-3x^2- x) but I see no finites differences and I certainly don't see a question!
What is the problem?
 
Last edited by a moderator:
The question is for the finite difference is: Show that the nth-order differences for the given function of deghree N are nonzero and constant. such as f(x) = 2x^3 - 5x^2 - x
 
I am curious how you got ur 900 to 1 ratio. Would the probably also be 1 % too.
 

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